Fourth Down Data
Minnesota5-4 · Big Ten@Penn State5-4 · Big Ten
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Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET· Beaver Stadium· Penn State -9.5 · O/U 43.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 828 mi / 0 miForecast: 37°F · wind 12 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Penn State -9.5 · O/U 43.5
opened Penn State -9, now Penn State -9.5 · total opened 43, now 43.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Minnesota as road underdog
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-7 ATS (19 games) · 10-9 O/U (19 games)
Penn State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 3-5-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-2-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 22-17-1 ATS (40 games) · 18-20-1 O/U (39 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalPenn State · 6 of 9
307.6
Yards / game
395.6
1.75
Points / drive
2.29
2.3
TDs / game
3.4
31.5
3rd-down %
37.7
54.8
RZ TD %
58.8
0.7
Turnover margin
0.8
2.0
Sacks / game
1.2
6.0
TFL / game
4.3
13.8
Havoc / game
11.0
54.2 / 45.8
Pass / Rush split
46.0 / 54.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Minnesota has the ball
Minnesota's early-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Penn State's early-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Minnesota's passing-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Penn State's passing-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
Minnesota's third-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Penn State's third-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Minnesota's red-zone offense ranks 103rd of 138. Penn State's red-zone defense ranks 127th of 138.
When Penn State has the ball
Penn State's early-down offense ranks 85th of 138. Minnesota's early-down defense ranks 48th of 138.
Penn State's passing-down offense ranks 80th of 138. Minnesota's passing-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
Penn State's third-down offense ranks 92nd of 138. Minnesota's third-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
Penn State's red-zone offense ranks 71st of 138. Minnesota's red-zone defense ranks 41st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.327 last 3 vs -0.174 season (-0.153)
Defense formabout the same(-0.136 last 3 vs -0.098 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.041 last 3 vs 0.020 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.092 last 3 vs -0.094 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDrake Lindsey — 1797 yd, 11 TD
RushingTJ Thomas — 400 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJavon Tracy — 485 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRocco Becht — 2079 yd, 15 TD
RushingCarson Hansen — 493 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingChase Sowell — 635 yd, 4 TD