Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET· Memorial Stadium· Indiana -22.5 · O/U 45.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 527 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Indiana -22.5 · O/U 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Minnesota as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-7 ATS (18 games) · 10-8 O/U (18 games)
Indiana as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-6 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 6-4 ATS (10 games) · 7-3 O/U (10 games)
Since 2020: 16-15 ATS (31 games) · 17-13 O/U (30 games)
2026 · TraditionalIndiana · 9 of 9
341.3
Yards / game
449.3
2.16
Points / drive
3.10
2.8
TDs / game
4.6
37.3
3rd-down %
46.3
60.9
RZ TD %
74.1
0.2
Turnover margin
0.4
2.3
Sacks / game
3.4
7.2
TFL / game
7.9
14.8
Havoc / game
15.4
54.4 / 45.6
Pass / Rush split
41.7 / 58.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Minnesota has the ball
Minnesota's early-down offense ranks 121st of 138. Indiana's early-down defense ranks 19th of 138.
Minnesota's passing-down offense ranks 124th of 138. Indiana's passing-down defense ranks 89th of 138.
Minnesota's third-down offense ranks 119th of 138. Indiana's third-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Minnesota's red-zone offense ranks 90th of 138. Indiana's red-zone defense ranks 84th of 138.
When Indiana has the ball
Indiana's early-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Minnesota's early-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Indiana's passing-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Minnesota's passing-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
Indiana's third-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Minnesota's third-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
Indiana's red-zone offense ranks 46th of 138. Minnesota's red-zone defense ranks 128th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Minnesota offense
121stof 138-0.109233 plays
vs
Indiana defense · allowed
19thof 138-0.122Minnesota defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.068vs
Indiana offense
14thof 1380.159263 plays
Passing downs
Minnesota offense
124thof 138-0.187116 plays
vs
Indiana defense · allowed
89thof 1380.061173 plays
Minnesota defense · allowed
91stof 1380.065127 plays
vs
Indiana offense
83rdof 138-0.007128 plays
Third down
Minnesota offense
119thof 138-0.18583 plays
vs
Indiana defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.036103 plays
Minnesota defense · allowed
33rdof 138-0.12268 plays
vs
Indiana offense
41stof 1380.19580 plays
Red zone
Minnesota offense
90thof 138-0.06366 plays
vs
Indiana defense · allowed
84thof 1380.02647 plays · small sample
Minnesota defense · allowed
128thof 1380.31046 plays · small sample
vs
Indiana offense
46thof 1380.07083 plays
Field advancement
Minnesota offense
84thof 13845.9%vs
Indiana defense · allowed
11thof 13832.1%Minnesota defense · allowed
16thof 13833.4%vs
Indiana offense
11thof 13860.8%Minnesota Offense vs Indiana DefenseIndiana · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.09#91
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#70.36
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.122#125
310 plays
EPA/Play
#31-0.097
allowed · 368 plays
-0.074#101
180 plays
EPA/Pass
#48-0.073
allowed · 185 plays
-0.190#131
130 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#27-0.122
allowed · 183 plays
44.5%#100
310 plays
Success Rate
#3442.1%
allowed · 368 plays
46.1%#60
Pass Success Rate
#5141.3%
allowed
42.3%#127
Rush Success Rate
#1039.2%
allowed
45.9%#84
Available Yards %
#1132.1%
allowed
65.1#3
Net Field Position
#1874.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.109#121
233 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#19-0.122
allowed
6.6#46
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#217.9
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Minnesota Defense vs Indiana OffenseIndiana · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.01#76
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#190.25
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.058#42
allowed · 288 plays
EPA/Play
#220.143
338 plays
-0.125#34
allowed · 129 plays
EPA/Pass
#150.238
160 plays
-0.003#69
allowed · 159 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#550.057
178 plays
44.4%#58
allowed · 288 plays
Success Rate
#6047.3%
338 plays
38.9%#25
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2551.9%
45.7%#55
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#12143.3%
33.4%#16
allowed
Available Yards %
#1160.8%
75.6#6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3468.8
-0.068#37
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#140.159
263 plays
7.5#41
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#416.6
2026 · Situational EPAIndiana · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.107
312 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.147
346 plays
-0.058
288 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.101
374 plays
-0.063
66 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.070
83 plays
0.310
46 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.026
47 plays · small sample
-0.185
83 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.195
80 plays
-0.122
68 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.036
103 plays