Fourth Down Data
Middle Tennessee2-2 · Conference USA@Kansas1-2 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET· David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium· Kansas -18.5 · O/U 49.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 532 mi / 0 miForecast: 66°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
Kansas -18.5 · O/U 49.5
opened Kansas -19.5, now Kansas -18.5 · total opened 50.5, now 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Middle Tennessee as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 19-18-1 ATS (38 games) · 17-21 O/U (38 games)
Kansas as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 9-11 ATS (20 games) · 12-8 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalKansas · 7 of 9
349.3
Yards / game
427.0
2.42
Points / drive
1.67
2.8
TDs / game
3.3
31.1
3rd-down %
38.6
70.0
RZ TD %
90.0
1.5
Turnover margin
-1.7
0.5
Sacks / game
1.7
2.8
TFL / game
7.3
7.5
Havoc / game
13.7
53.7 / 46.3
Pass / Rush split
41.0 / 59.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Middle Tennessee has the ball
Middle Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Kansas's early-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Middle Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Kansas's passing-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
Middle Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Kansas's third-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
Middle Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 46th of 138. Kansas's red-zone defense ranks 64th of 138.
When Kansas has the ball
Kansas's early-down offense ranks 126th of 138. Middle Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Kansas's passing-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Middle Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 103rd of 138.
Kansas's third-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Middle Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 55th of 138.
Kansas's red-zone offense ranks 5th of 138. Middle Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 50th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.018 last 3 vs 0.069 season (-0.051)
Defense formabout the same(-0.016 last 3 vs -0.013 season)
Season to date · 3 games
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRoman Gagliano — 832 yd, 8 TD
RushingAntonio Martin Jr. — 345 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy — 310 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingIsaiah Marshall — 649 yd, 5 TD
RushingDylan Edwards — 159 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingNik McMillan — 226 yd, 2 TD