Fourth Down Data
Michigan5-4 · Big Ten@#18Oregon6-3 · Big Ten
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Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Autzen Stadium· Oregon -10.5 · O/U 39.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,967 mi / 0 miForecast: 55°F · wind 9 mph · Rain, Overcast
Market context
Oregon -10.5 · O/U 39.5
opened Oregon -10, now Oregon -10.5 · total opened 40, now 39.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Michigan as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
Oregon as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3-1 ATS (8 games) · 5-3 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 21-18-3 ATS (42 games) · 21-20-1 O/U (42 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOregon · 6 of 9
302.6
Yards / game
422.0
1.65
Points / drive
2.31
2.3
TDs / game
4.1
41.9
3rd-down %
37.8
57.7
RZ TD %
65.9
-0.9
Turnover margin
0.0
2.3
Sacks / game
2.3
5.9
TFL / game
5.0
11.7
Havoc / game
13.6
40.4 / 59.6
Pass / Rush split
52.7 / 47.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Michigan has the ball
Michigan's early-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Oregon's early-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Oregon's passing-down defense ranks 51st of 138.
Michigan's third-down offense ranks 96th of 138. Oregon's third-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 34th of 138. Oregon's red-zone defense ranks 48th of 138.
When Oregon has the ball
Oregon's early-down offense ranks 50th of 138. Michigan's early-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Oregon's passing-down offense ranks 50th of 138. Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 23rd of 138.
Oregon's third-down offense ranks 85th of 138. Michigan's third-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
Oregon's red-zone offense ranks 40th of 138. Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 6th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.130 last 3 vs -0.095 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.192 last 3 vs -0.191 season)
▲Offense form0.110 last 3 vs 0.046 season (+0.063)
▼Defense form-0.047 last 3 vs -0.116 season (+0.069)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBryce Underwood — 924 yd, 5 TD
RushingSavion Hiter — 331 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan — 646 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDylan Raiola — 1354 yd, 11 TD
RushingDierre Hill Jr. — 474 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingDakorien Moore — 601 yd, 7 TD