Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET· Notre Dame Stadium· Notre Dame -3.5 · O/U 55.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,140 mi / 0 miForecast: 48°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Notre Dame -3.5 · O/U 55.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Miami as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 6-1 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 9-4 ATS (13 games) · 7-6 O/U (13 games)
Notre Dame as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 26-18 ATS (44 games) · 24-20 O/U (44 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMiami · 6 of 9
551.9
Yards / game
445.1
4.15
Points / drive
3.67
6.4
TDs / game
4.9
54.5
3rd-down %
44.0
81.1
RZ TD %
66.7
0.9
Turnover margin
2.0
2.9
Sacks / game
2.1
5.0
TFL / game
5.1
11.9
Havoc / game
12.9
46.7 / 53.3
Pass / Rush split
45.4 / 54.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Miami has the ball
Miami's early-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Notre Dame's early-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Miami's passing-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. Notre Dame's passing-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Miami's third-down offense ranks 8th of 138. Notre Dame's third-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Miami's red-zone offense ranks 20th of 138. Notre Dame's red-zone defense ranks 104th of 138.
When Notre Dame has the ball
Notre Dame's early-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Miami's early-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Notre Dame's passing-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Miami's passing-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Notre Dame's third-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Miami's third-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
Notre Dame's red-zone offense ranks 79th of 138. Miami's red-zone defense ranks 3rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.155 last 3 vs 0.313 season (-0.158)
▼Defense form-0.173 last 3 vs -0.239 season (+0.067)
Offense formabout the same(0.181 last 3 vs 0.223 season)
▼Defense form-0.222 last 3 vs -0.345 season (+0.123)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDarian Mensah — 2151 yd, 22 TD
RushingJavian Mallory — 444 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingMalachi Toney — 952 yd, 11 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Carr — 1639 yd, 16 TD
RushingJonaz Walton — 426 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJordan Faison — 451 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Miami offense
5thof 1380.208300 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
4thof 138-0.233222 plays
Miami defense · allowed
36thof 138-0.081vs
Notre Dame offense
9thof 1380.176289 plays
Passing downs
Miami offense
22ndof 1380.203138 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.161149 plays
Miami defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.117157 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
42ndof 1380.128127 plays
Third down
Miami offense
8thof 1380.43377 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.11687 plays
Miami defense · allowed
26thof 138-0.15396 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
90thof 138-0.01584 plays
Red zone
Miami offense
20thof 1380.20390 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
104thof 1380.09045 plays · small sample
Miami defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.57141 plays · small sample
vs
Notre Dame offense
79thof 138-0.016101 plays
Field advancement
Miami offense
2ndof 13865.2%vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
4thof 13829.9%Miami defense · allowed
14thof 13832.6%vs
Notre Dame offense
6thof 13861.4%Away
Home
Miami Offense vs Notre Dame DefenseMiami · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.63#1
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#140.33
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.245#3
368 plays
EPA/Play
#6-0.222
allowed · 293 plays
0.354#2
182 plays
EPA/Pass
#18-0.203
allowed · 140 plays
0.138#19
186 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#7-0.239
allowed · 153 plays
57.3%#1
368 plays
Success Rate
#2041.3%
allowed · 293 plays
62.1%#1
Pass Success Rate
#5842.2%
allowed
52.7%#19
Rush Success Rate
#940.1%
allowed
65.2%#2
Available Yards %
#429.9%
allowed
70.2#62
Net Field Position
#974.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.208#5
300 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#4-0.233
allowed · 222 plays
6.7#48
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#906.9
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Miami Defense vs Notre Dame OffenseNotre Dame · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.30#17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#30.49
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.171#12
allowed · 292 plays
EPA/Play
#100.190
366 plays
0.018#88
allowed · 170 plays
EPA/Pass
#240.159
170 plays
-0.434#1
allowed · 122 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#50.217
196 plays
38.7%#6
allowed · 292 plays
Success Rate
#455.7%
366 plays
41.4%#49
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#1252.9%
33.3%#1
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#258.2%
32.6%#14
allowed
Available Yards %
#661.4%
72.8#36
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1767.8
-0.081#36
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#90.176
289 plays
7.8#22
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#75.8
2026 · Situational EPAMiami · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.255
379 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.183
362 plays
-0.170
289 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.222
302 plays
0.203
90 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.016
101 plays
-0.571
41 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.090
45 plays · small sample
0.433
77 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.015
84 plays
-0.153
96 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.116
87 plays