Fourth Down Data
#1Miami6-0 · ACC@North Carolina4-2 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM ET· Kenan Stadium· Miami -14 · O/U 50.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 691 mi / 0 miForecast: 61°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Miami -14 · O/U 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Miami as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 12-10-1 ATS (23 games) · 11-11-1 O/U (23 games)
North Carolina as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 3-8-1 ATS (12 games) · 7-5 O/U (12 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMiami · 9 of 9
559.5
Yards / game
329.8
3.93
Points / drive
2.08
6.3
TDs / game
2.8
51.6
3rd-down %
37.3
80.0
RZ TD %
65.0
0.8
Turnover margin
-0.3
3.0
Sacks / game
2.2
5.2
TFL / game
4.0
11.8
Havoc / game
11.3
46.4 / 53.6
Pass / Rush split
47.2 / 52.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Miami has the ball
Miami's early-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. North Carolina's early-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
Miami's passing-down offense ranks 47th of 138. North Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Miami's third-down offense ranks 28th of 138. North Carolina's third-down defense ranks 101st of 138.
Miami's red-zone offense ranks 28th of 138. North Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 11th of 138.
When North Carolina has the ball
North Carolina's early-down offense ranks 89th of 138. Miami's early-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
North Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 77th of 138. Miami's passing-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
North Carolina's third-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Miami's third-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
North Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 36th of 138. Miami's red-zone defense ranks 2nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.206 last 3 vs 0.324 season (-0.118)
Defense formabout the same(-0.189 last 3 vs -0.214 season)
Offense formabout the same(-0.036 last 3 vs 0.010 season)
▼Defense form0.024 last 3 vs -0.053 season (+0.077)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDarian Mensah — 1764 yd, 18 TD
RushingJavian Mallory — 397 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingMalachi Toney — 758 yd, 8 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBilly Edwards Jr. — 1260 yd, 9 TD
RushingBenjamin Hall — 283 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingJordan Shipp — 441 yd, 1 TD