Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET· Kelly/Shorts Stadium· Miami (OH) -2.5 · O/U 39.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 280 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Miami (OH) -2.5 · O/U 39.5
total opened 43, now 39.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Miami (OH) as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-6 ATS (16 games) · 7-8-1 O/U (16 games)
Central Michigan as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-4 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 9-2 ATS (11 games) · 3-8 O/U (11 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMiami (OH) · 7 of 9
357.9
Yards / game
292.4
2.36
Points / drive
1.61
2.7
TDs / game
2.3
34.2
3rd-down %
34.8
54.5
RZ TD %
66.7
0.4
Turnover margin
0.0
2.0
Sacks / game
1.6
4.0
TFL / game
3.4
11.1
Havoc / game
9.9
43.7 / 56.3
Pass / Rush split
34.2 / 65.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Miami (OH) has the ball
Miami (OH)'s early-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Central Michigan's early-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Miami (OH)'s passing-down offense ranks 115th of 138. Central Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Miami (OH)'s third-down offense ranks 129th of 138. Central Michigan's third-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone offense ranks 99th of 138. Central Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 81st of 138.
When Central Michigan has the ball
Central Michigan's early-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Miami (OH)'s early-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Central Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Miami (OH)'s passing-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
Central Michigan's third-down offense ranks 120th of 138. Miami (OH)'s third-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
Central Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 2nd of 138. Miami (OH)'s red-zone defense ranks 138th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.051 last 3 vs 0.096 season (-0.146)
Defense formabout the same(-0.096 last 3 vs -0.059 season)
▲Offense form-0.169 last 3 vs -0.241 season (+0.072)
Defense formabout the same(-0.005 last 3 vs 0.021 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavid McComb — 1121 yd, 7 TD
RushingRodney Nelson — 348 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingMaleek Huggins — 309 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAngel Flores — 475 yd, 2 TD
RushingAngel Flores — 618 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis — 216 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Miami (OH) offense
28thof 1380.110269 plays
vs
Central Michigan defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.051Miami (OH) defense · allowed
67thof 138-0.017vs
Central Michigan offense
118thof 138-0.096236 plays
Passing downs
Miami (OH) offense
115thof 138-0.126146 plays
vs
Central Michigan defense · allowed
44thof 138-0.080141 plays
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
133rdof 1380.307159 plays
vs
Central Michigan offense
118thof 138-0.137139 plays
Third down
Miami (OH) offense
129thof 138-0.25880 plays
vs
Central Michigan defense · allowed
113thof 1380.18291 plays
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
111thof 1380.18194 plays
vs
Central Michigan offense
120thof 138-0.18693 plays
Red zone
Miami (OH) offense
99thof 138-0.08755 plays · small sample
vs
Central Michigan defense · allowed
81stof 1380.00477 plays
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
138thof 1380.55342 plays · small sample
vs
Central Michigan offense
2ndof 1380.48522 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Miami (OH) offense
59thof 13850.2%vs
Central Michigan defense · allowed
118thof 13850.7%Miami (OH) defense · allowed
85thof 13845.2%vs
Central Michigan offense
130thof 13836.6%Away
Home
Miami (OH) Offense vs Central Michigan DefenseMiami (OH) · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.01#75
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#114-0.18
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.054#53
345 plays
EPA/Play
#820.013
allowed · 351 plays
0.114#43
158 plays
EPA/Pass
#32-0.132
allowed · 143 plays
0.004#75
187 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1190.112
allowed · 208 plays
47.2%#67
345 plays
Success Rate
#12649.9%
allowed · 351 plays
44.9%#74
Pass Success Rate
#7943.8%
allowed
49.2%#63
Rush Success Rate
#13453.0%
allowed
50.2%#59
Available Yards %
#11850.7%
allowed
67.9#22
Net Field Position
#12368.6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.110#28
269 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#52-0.051
allowed
8.0#131
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1136.6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Miami (OH) Defense vs Central Michigan OffenseMiami (OH) · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.04#84
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#128-0.33
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.011#78
allowed · 402 plays
EPA/Play
#130-0.139
321 plays
0.074#98
allowed · 225 plays
EPA/Pass
#138-0.447
103 plays
-0.070#45
allowed · 177 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#730.007
218 plays
44.5%#58
allowed · 402 plays
Success Rate
#11843.3%
321 plays
46.1%#105
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#13828.2%
44.9%#46
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#4550.5%
45.2%#85
allowed
Available Yards %
#13036.6%
74.9#9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10972.4
-0.017#67
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#118-0.096
236 plays
7.1#74
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#516.7
2026 · Situational EPACentral Michigan · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.059
351 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.155
321 plays
0.009
415 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.006
357 plays
-0.087
55 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.485
22 plays · small sample
0.553
42 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.004
77 plays
-0.258
80 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.186
93 plays
0.181
94 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.182
91 plays