Fourth Down Data
Memphis7-2 · American Athletic@South Florida6-3 · American Athletic
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Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET· Raymond James Stadium· Memphis -5 · O/U 48.5
Rest 12d / 6dTravel 661 mi / 0 miForecast: 72°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Memphis -5 · O/U 48.5
opened Memphis -5.5, now Memphis -5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Memphis as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 12-10 ATS (22 games) · 13-9 O/U (22 games)
South Florida as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-4-1 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 9-8 ATS (17 games) · 11-5-1 O/U (17 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMemphis · 5 of 9
513.3
Yards / game
316.2
3.02
Points / drive
2.16
4.9
TDs / game
2.7
46.4
3rd-down %
37.3
61.4
RZ TD %
57.1
0.6
Turnover margin
0.7
2.3
Sacks / game
2.6
5.3
TFL / game
7.6
12.1
Havoc / game
13.3
42.1 / 57.9
Pass / Rush split
40.9 / 59.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Memphis has the ball
Memphis's early-down offense ranks 7th of 138. South Florida's early-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
Memphis's passing-down offense ranks 10th of 138. South Florida's passing-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Memphis's third-down offense ranks 51st of 138. South Florida's third-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
Memphis's red-zone offense ranks 94th of 138. South Florida's red-zone defense ranks 1st of 138.
When South Florida has the ball
South Florida's early-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Memphis's early-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
South Florida's passing-down offense ranks 101st of 138. Memphis's passing-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
South Florida's third-down offense ranks 101st of 138. Memphis's third-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
South Florida's red-zone offense ranks 85th of 138. Memphis's red-zone defense ranks 60th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.045 last 3 vs 0.178 season (-0.133)
Defense formabout the same(-0.013 last 3 vs -0.025 season)
▼Offense form-0.113 last 3 vs 0.000 season (-0.113)
▲Defense form-0.291 last 3 vs -0.115 season (-0.176)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMarcus Stokes — 2532 yd, 25 TD
RushingJaylin Carter — 929 yd, 10 TD
ReceivingHunter Tipton — 495 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. — 1273 yd, 6 TD
RushingD.J. Crowther — 689 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers — 395 yd, 3 TD