Fourth Down Data
Massachusetts4-3 · Mid-American@UConn3-3 · FBS Independents
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Fri, Oct 23, 7:00 PM ET· Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field· UConn -14.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 6d / 13dTravel 43 mi / 0 miForecast: 44°F · wind 4 mph · Clear
Market context
UConn -14.5 · O/U 50.5
opened UConn -16, now UConn -14.5 · total opened 48.5, now 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Massachusetts as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-2-1 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 17-19-1 ATS (37 games) · 21-16 O/U (37 games)
UConn as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 9-7 ATS (16 games) · 9-7 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalUConn · 7 of 9
339.1
Yards / game
449.2
2.37
Points / drive
3.10
3.0
TDs / game
4.7
35.4
3rd-down %
41.9
60.0
RZ TD %
73.9
1.0
Turnover margin
0.0
2.1
Sacks / game
1.8
3.7
TFL / game
5.3
11.6
Havoc / game
13.7
40.5 / 59.5
Pass / Rush split
44.3 / 55.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Massachusetts has the ball
Massachusetts's early-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. UConn's early-down defense ranks 98th of 138.
Massachusetts's passing-down offense ranks 65th of 138. UConn's passing-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
Massachusetts's third-down offense ranks 114th of 138. UConn's third-down defense ranks 76th of 138.
Massachusetts's red-zone offense ranks 73rd of 138. UConn's red-zone defense ranks 92nd of 138.
When UConn has the ball
UConn's early-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Massachusetts's early-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
UConn's passing-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Massachusetts's passing-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
UConn's third-down offense ranks 62nd of 138. Massachusetts's third-down defense ranks 19th of 138.
UConn's red-zone offense ranks 25th of 138. Massachusetts's red-zone defense ranks 54th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.126 last 3 vs 0.016 season (-0.143)
▼Defense form-0.012 last 3 vs -0.199 season (+0.187)
▲Offense form0.196 last 3 vs 0.131 season (+0.066)
▼Defense form0.120 last 3 vs -0.043 season (+0.163)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWilliam Pop Watson III — 820 yd, 7 TD
RushingElijah Faulkner — 361 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingT.Y. Harding — 327 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKalieb Osborne — 1421 yd, 10 TD
RushingCyncir Bowers — 433 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingShamar Porter — 235 yd, 2 TD