Fourth Down Data
Massachusetts4-2 · Mid-American@Buffalo3-3 · Mid-American
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Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM ET· UB Stadium
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 320 mi / 0 miForecast: 46°F · wind 16 mph · Partially cloudy
Away
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2026 · TraditionalMassachusetts · 7 of 9
339.2
Yards / game
318.8
2.65
Points / drive
1.60
3.2
TDs / game
2.3
35.8
3rd-down %
35.8
58.8
RZ TD %
52.4
1.2
Turnover margin
-0.7
2.2
Sacks / game
1.2
4.0
TFL / game
4.3
11.3
Havoc / game
10.8
41.7 / 58.3
Pass / Rush split
42.9 / 57.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Massachusetts has the ball
Massachusetts's early-down offense ranks 57th of 138. Buffalo's early-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
Massachusetts's passing-down offense ranks 65th of 138. Buffalo's passing-down defense ranks 31st of 138.
Massachusetts's third-down offense ranks 121st of 138. Buffalo's third-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
Massachusetts's red-zone offense ranks 105th of 138. Buffalo's red-zone defense ranks 116th of 138.
When Buffalo has the ball
Buffalo's early-down offense ranks 119th of 138. Massachusetts's early-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Buffalo's passing-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Massachusetts's passing-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Buffalo's third-down offense ranks 112th of 138. Massachusetts's third-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Buffalo's red-zone offense ranks 68th of 138. Massachusetts's red-zone defense ranks 70th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.007 last 3 vs 0.023 season)
▼Defense form-0.014 last 3 vs -0.196 season (+0.181)
▲Offense form-0.033 last 3 vs -0.113 season (+0.080)
Defense formabout the same(-0.053 last 3 vs -0.052 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWilliam Pop Watson III — 820 yd, 7 TD
RushingCurtis Kimmons IV — 297 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingT.Y. Harding — 327 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJason Wright — 726 yd, 4 TD
RushingMessiah Burch — 489 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingChance Morrow — 414 yd, 6 TD