Sat, Oct 3, 3:45 PM ET· Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field· James Madison -18.5 · O/U 56
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 192 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
James Madison -18.5 · O/U 56
opened James Madison -18, now James Madison -18.5 · total opened 54.5, now 56
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Marshall as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 8-6-1 ATS (15 games) · 6-8 O/U (14 games)
James Madison as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 17-10 ATS (27 games) · 12-15 O/U (27 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalJames Madison · 9 of 9
372.5
Yards / game
425.3
2.26
Points / drive
2.98
2.8
TDs / game
4.8
31.3
3rd-down %
38.8
46.7
RZ TD %
66.7
-0.8
Turnover margin
0.8
1.0
Sacks / game
3.3
4.0
TFL / game
7.3
9.0
Havoc / game
16.3
44.8 / 55.2
Pass / Rush split
42.8 / 57.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Marshall has the ball
Marshall's early-down offense ranks 94th of 138. James Madison's early-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
Marshall's passing-down offense ranks 96th of 138. James Madison's passing-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Marshall's third-down offense ranks 120th of 138. James Madison's third-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
Marshall's red-zone offense ranks 128th of 138. James Madison's red-zone defense ranks 2nd of 138.
When James Madison has the ball
James Madison's early-down offense ranks 76th of 138. Marshall's early-down defense ranks 103rd of 138.
James Madison's passing-down offense ranks 39th of 138. Marshall's passing-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
James Madison's third-down offense ranks 105th of 138. Marshall's third-down defense ranks 135th of 138.
James Madison's red-zone offense ranks 28th of 138. Marshall's red-zone defense ranks 38th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.035 last 3 vs -0.033 season (+0.068)
Defense formabout the same(0.143 last 3 vs 0.166 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.131 last 3 vs 0.086 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.198 last 3 vs -0.151 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson — 783 yd, 5 TD
RushingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson — 194 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingXayvion Turner-Bradshaw — 300 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCamden Coleman — 716 yd, 7 TD
RushingGeorge Pettaway — 291 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingCorey Scott — 185 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Marshall offense
94thof 138-0.031196 plays
vs
James Madison defense · allowed
10thof 138-0.202Marshall defense · allowed
103rdof 1380.045vs
James Madison offense
76thof 138-0.001176 plays
Passing downs
Marshall offense
96thof 138-0.05890 plays
vs
James Madison defense · allowed
82ndof 1380.019125 plays
Marshall defense · allowed
78thof 1380.01380 plays
vs
James Madison offense
39thof 1380.16781 plays
Third down
Marshall offense
120thof 138-0.19049 plays · small sample
vs
James Madison defense · allowed
102ndof 1380.17868 plays
Marshall defense · allowed
135thof 1380.47254 plays · small sample
vs
James Madison offense
105thof 138-0.11249 plays · small sample
Red zone
Marshall offense
128thof 138-0.38736 plays · small sample
vs
James Madison defense · allowed
2ndof 138-0.65218 plays · small sample
Marshall defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.20339 plays · small sample
vs
James Madison offense
28thof 1380.22660 plays
Field advancement
Marshall offense
99thof 13844.5%vs
James Madison defense · allowed
12thof 13829.4%Marshall defense · allowed
135thof 13859.3%vs
James Madison offense
52ndof 13853.3%Away
Home
Marshall Offense vs James Madison DefenseJames Madison · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.10#95
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#200.20
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.000#79
243 plays
EPA/Play
#27-0.131
allowed · 229 plays
0.002#74
110 plays
EPA/Pass
#68-0.050
allowed · 107 plays
-0.001#83
133 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#22-0.201
allowed · 122 plays
46.9%#74
243 plays
Success Rate
#1638.4%
allowed · 229 plays
42.7%#95
Pass Success Rate
#3037.8%
allowed
50.4%#54
Rush Success Rate
#736.7%
allowed
44.5%#99
Available Yards %
#1229.4%
allowed
72.0#103
Net Field Position
#3973.4
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.031#94
196 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#10-0.202
allowed
7.6#113
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#377.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Marshall Defense vs James Madison OffenseJames Madison · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.22#127
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#180.20
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.152#128
allowed · 232 plays
EPA/Play
#650.034
223 plays
0.232#126
allowed · 127 plays
EPA/Pass
#76-0.007
96 plays
0.055#93
allowed · 105 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#550.066
127 plays
47.4%#103
allowed · 232 plays
Success Rate
#9744.8%
223 plays
47.8%#113
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8743.8%
47.7%#89
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9845.7%
59.3%#135
allowed
Available Yards %
#5253.3%
71.7#72
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#863.5
0.045#103
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#76-0.001
176 plays
7.1#76
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#767.0
2026 · Situational EPAJames Madison · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.000
243 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.002
233 plays
0.152
232 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.134
240 plays
-0.387
36 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.226
60 plays
-0.203
39 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.652
18 plays · small sample
-0.190
49 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
-0.112
49 plays · small sample
0.472
54 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.178
68 plays