Fourth Down Data
Auburn3-1 · SEC@#17Tennessee3-1 · SEC
Share →
Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Neyland Stadium· Tennessee -7 · O/U 54.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 248 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 7 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Tennessee -7 · O/U 54.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Auburn as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-1-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 10-10-2 ATS (22 games) · 10-12 O/U (22 games)
Tennessee as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-5 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 18-17 ATS (35 games) · 19-16 O/U (35 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTennessee · 8 of 9
413.5
Yards / game
438.0
2.34
Points / drive
2.78
3.3
TDs / game
4.8
50.0
3rd-down %
41.2
64.3
RZ TD %
83.3
0.0
Turnover margin
0.5
2.8
Sacks / game
4.8
7.3
TFL / game
8.5
14.5
Havoc / game
18.3
46.0 / 54.0
Pass / Rush split
37.5 / 62.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Auburn has the ball
Auburn's early-down offense ranks 104th of 138. Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Auburn's passing-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Auburn's third-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Auburn's red-zone offense ranks 36th of 138. Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 20th of 138.
When Tennessee has the ball
Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Auburn's early-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Auburn's passing-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Auburn's third-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 23rd of 138. Auburn's red-zone defense ranks 76th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.086 last 3 vs 0.052 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.003 last 3 vs -0.014 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.045 last 3 vs 0.083 season)
▼Defense form-0.182 last 3 vs -0.262 season (+0.080)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingByrum Brown — 896 yd, 6 TD
RushingByrum Brown — 237 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingKeshaun Singleton — 268 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingFaizon Brandon — 697 yd, 7 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop — 320 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews — 261 yd, 3 TD