Thu, Oct 22, 7:00 PM ET· Fifth Third Bank Stadium· Liberty -9.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 14d / 8dTravel 380 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Liberty -9.5 · O/U 50.5
opened Liberty -10.5, now Liberty -9.5 · total opened 48.5, now 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Liberty as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 11-15 ATS (26 games) · 16-9-1 O/U (26 games)
Kennesaw State as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 6-2 ATS (8 games) · 4-4 O/U (8 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalLiberty · 8 of 9
415.8
Yards / game
369.8
2.58
Points / drive
2.04
3.8
TDs / game
2.8
45.2
3rd-down %
40.8
61.5
RZ TD %
63.6
0.5
Turnover margin
0.3
2.0
Sacks / game
1.2
6.3
TFL / game
4.0
13.5
Havoc / game
9.7
33.7 / 66.3
Pass / Rush split
50.6 / 49.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Liberty has the ball
Liberty's early-down offense ranks 30th of 138. Kennesaw State's early-down defense ranks 106th of 138.
Liberty's passing-down offense ranks 96th of 138. Kennesaw State's passing-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Liberty's third-down offense ranks 63rd of 138. Kennesaw State's third-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Liberty's red-zone offense ranks 109th of 138. Kennesaw State's red-zone defense ranks 105th of 138.
When Kennesaw State has the ball
Kennesaw State's early-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Liberty's early-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
Kennesaw State's passing-down offense ranks 98th of 138. Liberty's passing-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Kennesaw State's third-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Liberty's third-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Kennesaw State's red-zone offense ranks 37th of 138. Liberty's red-zone defense ranks 6th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.183 last 3 vs 0.079 season (+0.104)
▲Defense form-0.320 last 3 vs -0.197 season (-0.123)
▲Offense form0.047 last 3 vs -0.039 season (+0.085)
▼Defense form0.067 last 3 vs -0.026 season (+0.093)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDeshawn Purdie — 1050 yd, 8 TD
RushingKam Davis — 524 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingMakai Jackson — 515 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRickie Collins — 1302 yd, 4 TD
RushingRickie Collins — 271 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingJavon Rogers — 308 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Liberty offense
30thof 1380.097270 plays
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
106thof 1380.049Liberty defense · allowed
7thof 138-0.193vs
Kennesaw State offense
66thof 1380.029247 plays
Passing downs
Liberty offense
96thof 138-0.059116 plays
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
109thof 1380.133123 plays
Liberty defense · allowed
39thof 138-0.102144 plays
vs
Kennesaw State offense
98thof 138-0.064124 plays
Third down
Liberty offense
63rdof 1380.11273 plays
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.09675 plays
Liberty defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.03874 plays
vs
Kennesaw State offense
68thof 1380.08872 plays
Red zone
Liberty offense
109thof 138-0.13967 plays
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
105thof 1380.09761 plays
Liberty defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.42434 plays · small sample
vs
Kennesaw State offense
37thof 1380.11957 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Liberty offense
44thof 13853.2%vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
113thof 13849.9%Liberty defense · allowed
27thof 13836.0%vs
Kennesaw State offense
90thof 13845.4%Away
Home
Liberty Offense vs Kennesaw State DefenseLiberty · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.01#73
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#86-0.05
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.056#51
339 plays
EPA/Play
#950.043
allowed · 344 plays
0.172#24
116 plays
EPA/Pass
#1040.097
allowed · 171 plays
-0.004#77
223 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#67-0.011
allowed · 173 plays
51.6%#17
339 plays
Success Rate
#10748.3%
allowed · 344 plays
47.4%#48
Pass Success Rate
#11046.3%
allowed
53.8%#11
Rush Success Rate
#9648.3%
allowed
53.2%#44
Available Yards %
#11349.9%
allowed
66.4#6
Net Field Position
#8770.7
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.097#30
270 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1060.049
allowed
6.8#62
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#916.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Liberty Defense vs Kennesaw State OffenseLiberty · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.33#10
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#102-0.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.190#7
allowed · 311 plays
EPA/Play
#85-0.019
312 plays
-0.259#8
allowed · 153 plays
EPA/Pass
#610.045
159 plays
-0.124#25
allowed · 158 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#116-0.085
153 plays
37.0%#2
allowed · 311 plays
Success Rate
#7646.8%
312 plays
36.7%#11
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3749.7%
40.2%#13
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#11843.8%
36.0%#27
allowed
Available Yards %
#9045.4%
74.0#26
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#13073.7
-0.193#7
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#660.029
247 plays
8.8#1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#716.9
2026 · Situational EPALiberty · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.056
339 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.008
330 plays
-0.190
311 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.034
361 plays
-0.139
67 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.119
57 plays · small sample
-0.424
34 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.097
61 plays
0.112
73 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.088
72 plays
-0.038
74 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.096
75 plays