Fri, Oct 9, 9:00 PM ET· Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium· Washington -2.5 · O/U 41.5
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 1,556 mi / 0 miForecast: 57°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Washington -2.5 · O/U 41.5
opened Washington -1.5, now Washington -2.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Iowa as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 12-6 ATS (18 games) · 4-14 O/U (18 games)
Washington as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 17-17-2 ATS (36 games) · 18-18 O/U (36 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalIowa · 5 of 9
390.8
Yards / game
380.4
2.43
Points / drive
2.16
3.2
TDs / game
3.2
40.3
3rd-down %
29.0
66.7
RZ TD %
60.0
0.4
Turnover margin
1.0
2.6
Sacks / game
2.0
5.0
TFL / game
6.4
13.2
Havoc / game
13.6
51.1 / 48.9
Pass / Rush split
53.0 / 47.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Iowa has the ball
Iowa's early-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Washington's early-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
Iowa's passing-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Washington's passing-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Iowa's third-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Washington's third-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
Iowa's red-zone offense ranks 108th of 138. Washington's red-zone defense ranks 69th of 138.
When Washington has the ball
Washington's early-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Iowa's early-down defense ranks 56th of 138.
Washington's passing-down offense ranks 106th of 138. Iowa's passing-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
Washington's third-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Iowa's third-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
Washington's red-zone offense ranks 96th of 138. Iowa's red-zone defense ranks 40th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.053 last 3 vs 0.020 season)
▼Defense form-0.071 last 3 vs -0.234 season (+0.162)
▲Offense form0.043 last 3 vs -0.007 season (+0.051)
▼Defense form0.025 last 3 vs -0.068 season (+0.093)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingHank Brown — 832 yd, 5 TD
RushingKamari Moulton — 311 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingTony Diaz — 306 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDemond Williams Jr. — 1327 yd, 8 TD
RushingBrian Bonner Jr. — 215 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingDezmen Roebuck — 338 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Iowa offense
81stof 138-0.013176 plays
vs
Washington defense · allowed
69thof 138-0.034Iowa defense · allowed
56thof 138-0.062vs
Washington offense
35thof 1380.083232 plays
Passing downs
Iowa offense
130thof 138-0.263104 plays
vs
Washington defense · allowed
20thof 138-0.199114 plays
Iowa defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.022120 plays
vs
Washington offense
106thof 138-0.12894 plays
Third down
Iowa offense
117thof 138-0.17063 plays
vs
Washington defense · allowed
42ndof 138-0.12269 plays
Iowa defense · allowed
9thof 138-0.32271 plays
vs
Washington offense
137thof 138-0.50563 plays
Red zone
Iowa offense
108thof 138-0.13934 plays · small sample
vs
Washington defense · allowed
69thof 138-0.03237 plays · small sample
Iowa defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.19334 plays · small sample
vs
Washington offense
96thof 138-0.07770 plays
Field advancement
Iowa offense
75thof 13848.6%vs
Washington defense · allowed
49thof 13838.4%Iowa defense · allowed
13thof 13830.4%vs
Washington offense
91stof 13845.2%Away
Home
Iowa Offense vs Washington DefenseWashington · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.01#72
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#380.11
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.075#105
223 plays
EPA/Play
#51-0.072
allowed · 292 plays
-0.110#101
124 plays
EPA/Pass
#67-0.056
allowed · 132 plays
-0.032#98
99 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#44-0.084
allowed · 160 plays
44.8%#96
223 plays
Success Rate
#5543.5%
allowed · 292 plays
41.9%#99
Pass Success Rate
#8744.5%
allowed
48.5%#68
Rush Success Rate
#4243.1%
allowed
48.6%#75
Available Yards %
#4938.4%
allowed
68.9#43
Net Field Position
#6372.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.013#81
176 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#69-0.034
allowed
6.7#55
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#717.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Iowa Defense vs Washington OffenseIowa · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.13#33
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#98-0.13
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.073#50
allowed · 231 plays
EPA/Play
#90-0.026
301 plays
0.128#113
allowed · 93 plays
EPA/Pass
#600.014
160 plays
-0.208#13
allowed · 138 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#106-0.072
141 plays
39.8%#19
allowed · 231 plays
Success Rate
#7746.8%
301 plays
36.6%#19
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#4948.1%
37.9%#9
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#10545.4%
30.4%#13
allowed
Available Yards %
#9145.2%
75.5#9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#7070.5
-0.062#56
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#350.083
232 plays
7.3#61
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#757.0
2026 · Situational EPAIowa · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.071
249 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.026
301 plays
-0.093
246 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.065
300 plays
-0.139
34 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.077
70 plays
-0.193
34 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.032
37 plays · small sample
-0.170
63 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.505
63 plays
-0.322
71 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.122
69 plays