Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 PM ET· Vanderbilt Stadium· Vanderbilt -6.5 · O/U 49.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 411 mi / 0 miForecast: 54°F · wind 11 mph · Clear
Market context
Vanderbilt -6.5 · O/U 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Arkansas as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-8-1 ATS (24 games) · 12-12 O/U (24 games)
Vanderbilt as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 6-2 ATS (8 games) · 6-2 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 8-9 ATS (17 games) · 12-4 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalVanderbilt · 7 of 9
327.2
Yards / game
348.3
1.68
Points / drive
1.88
2.2
TDs / game
2.5
41.0
3rd-down %
37.6
52.2
RZ TD %
65.0
-0.2
Turnover margin
-0.5
1.5
Sacks / game
2.5
4.0
TFL / game
4.2
8.8
Havoc / game
11.7
52.1 / 47.9
Pass / Rush split
47.7 / 52.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas's early-down offense ranks 129th of 138. Vanderbilt's early-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
Arkansas's passing-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Vanderbilt's passing-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
Arkansas's third-down offense ranks 46th of 138. Vanderbilt's third-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Arkansas's red-zone offense ranks 115th of 138. Vanderbilt's red-zone defense ranks 104th of 138.
When Vanderbilt has the ball
Vanderbilt's early-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Arkansas's early-down defense ranks 55th of 138.
Vanderbilt's passing-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. Arkansas's passing-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Vanderbilt's third-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Arkansas's third-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Vanderbilt's red-zone offense ranks 33rd of 138. Arkansas's red-zone defense ranks 118th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form-0.083 last 3 vs -0.162 season (+0.079)
▲Defense form-0.052 last 3 vs 0.034 season (-0.086)
▼Offense form-0.140 last 3 vs -0.069 season (-0.071)
▼Defense form0.179 last 3 vs 0.051 season (+0.128)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKJ Jackson — 1193 yd, 7 TD
RushingSutton Smith — 166 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Marshall — 605 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJared Curtis — 968 yd, 5 TD
RushingSedrick Alexander — 213 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill — 529 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Arkansas offense
129thof 138-0.175255 plays
vs
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
69thof 138-0.017Arkansas defense · allowed
55thof 138-0.038vs
Vanderbilt offense
118thof 138-0.100251 plays
Passing downs
Arkansas offense
118thof 138-0.183155 plays
vs
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.024139 plays
Arkansas defense · allowed
54thof 138-0.064110 plays
vs
Vanderbilt offense
43rdof 1380.144133 plays
Third down
Arkansas offense
46thof 1380.19084 plays
vs
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
117thof 1380.21678 plays
Arkansas defense · allowed
108thof 1380.19573 plays
vs
Vanderbilt offense
37thof 1380.24286 plays
Red zone
Arkansas offense
115thof 138-0.18262 plays
vs
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
104thof 1380.11942 plays · small sample
Arkansas defense · allowed
118thof 1380.19774 plays
vs
Vanderbilt offense
33rdof 1380.17142 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Arkansas offense
117thof 13840.6%vs
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
69thof 13842.4%Arkansas defense · allowed
78thof 13844.5%vs
Vanderbilt offense
105thof 13842.0%Away
Home
Arkansas Offense vs Vanderbilt DefenseVanderbilt · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.26#120
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#103-0.10
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.135#125
328 plays
EPA/Play
#980.044
allowed · 351 plays
-0.083#103
161 plays
EPA/Pass
#1050.094
allowed · 172 plays
-0.184#128
167 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#71-0.005
allowed · 179 plays
45.4%#90
328 plays
Success Rate
#6545.0%
allowed · 351 plays
47.8%#45
Pass Success Rate
#10445.6%
allowed
43.1%#120
Rush Success Rate
#4244.1%
allowed
40.6%#117
Available Yards %
#6942.4%
allowed
71.9#95
Net Field Position
#4672.6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.175#129
255 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#69-0.017
allowed
8.0#126
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#347.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Arkansas Defense vs Vanderbilt OffenseVanderbilt · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.18#117
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#106-0.18
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.022#87
allowed · 284 plays
EPA/Play
#94-0.043
344 plays
-0.129#38
allowed · 123 plays
EPA/Pass
#74-0.016
165 plays
0.137#122
allowed · 161 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#108-0.068
179 plays
48.6%#113
allowed · 284 plays
Success Rate
#8245.9%
344 plays
44.4%#89
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8244.2%
53.2%#132
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#8447.5%
44.5%#78
allowed
Available Yards %
#10542.0%
69.5#107
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#8371.3
-0.038#55
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#118-0.100
251 plays
7.1#78
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1067.5
2026 · Situational EPAVanderbilt · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.135
328 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.043
345 plays
0.008
285 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.049
353 plays
-0.182
62 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.171
42 plays · small sample
0.197
74 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.119
42 plays · small sample
0.190
84 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.242
86 plays
0.195
73 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.216
78 plays