Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET· Bill Snyder Family Stadium· Kansas State -2.5 · O/U 53.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 659 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 13 mph · Clear
Market context
Kansas State -2.5 · O/U 53.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Houston as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 12-9 ATS (21 games) · 8-12 O/U (20 games)
Kansas State as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 24-13 ATS (37 games) · 18-19 O/U (37 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalHouston · 5 of 9
483.2
Yards / game
480.3
3.51
Points / drive
3.33
5.4
TDs / game
5.0
65.6
3rd-down %
65.0
69.0
RZ TD %
72.7
0.6
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.0
Sacks / game
3.0
5.2
TFL / game
9.3
14.4
Havoc / game
16.3
40.7 / 59.3
Pass / Rush split
47.9 / 52.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Houston has the ball
Houston's early-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Kansas State's early-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Houston's passing-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Kansas State's passing-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Houston's third-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Kansas State's third-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Houston's red-zone offense ranks 82nd of 138. Kansas State's red-zone defense ranks 17th of 138.
When Kansas State has the ball
Kansas State's early-down offense ranks 78th of 138. Houston's early-down defense ranks 89th of 138.
Kansas State's passing-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. Houston's passing-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
Kansas State's third-down offense ranks 4th of 138. Houston's third-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
Kansas State's red-zone offense ranks 63rd of 138. Houston's red-zone defense ranks 134th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.195 last 3 vs 0.221 season)
▼Defense form0.074 last 3 vs -0.088 season (+0.161)
Offense formabout the same(0.114 last 3 vs 0.120 season)
▼Defense form-0.039 last 3 vs -0.261 season (+0.222)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingConner Weigman — 1186 yd, 11 TD
RushingRe’Shaun Sanford II — 314 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingAmare Thomas — 330 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAvery Johnson — 910 yd, 7 TD
RushingAvery Johnson — 291 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingDerrick Salley Jr. — 178 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Houston offense
32ndof 1380.105251 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
16thof 138-0.169Houston defense · allowed
89thof 138-0.001vs
Kansas State offense
78thof 138-0.006191 plays
Passing downs
Houston offense
14thof 1380.29191 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
82ndof 1380.02796 plays
Houston defense · allowed
71stof 138-0.009111 plays
vs
Kansas State offense
2ndof 1380.45693 plays
Third down
Houston offense
1stof 1380.63961 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
99thof 1380.13254 plays · small sample
Houston defense · allowed
91stof 1380.09165 plays
vs
Kansas State offense
4thof 1380.58360 plays
Red zone
Houston offense
82ndof 138-0.01676 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.3839 plays · small sample
Houston defense · allowed
134thof 1380.44128 plays · small sample
vs
Kansas State offense
63rdof 1380.07355 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Houston offense
1stof 13870.8%vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
11thof 13829.8%Houston defense · allowed
44thof 13837.2%vs
Kansas State offense
14thof 13861.3%Away
Home
Houston Offense vs Kansas State DefenseHouston · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.39#7
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#440.08
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.180#17
312 plays
EPA/Play
#41-0.083
allowed · 161 plays
0.206#24
136 plays
EPA/Pass
#28-0.171
allowed · 64 plays
0.160#22
176 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#63-0.024
allowed · 97 plays
58.0%#5
312 plays
Success Rate
#1839.8%
allowed · 161 plays
58.8%#6
Pass Success Rate
#130.8%
allowed
57.4%#7
Rush Success Rate
#2540.7%
allowed
70.8%#1
Available Yards %
#1129.8%
allowed
63.0#3
Net Field Position
#2574.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.105#32
251 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#16-0.169
allowed
5.3#2
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#38.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Houston Defense vs Kansas State OffenseKansas State · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.07#46
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#290.18
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.016#89
allowed · 277 plays
EPA/Play
#340.118
245 plays
0.133#114
allowed · 165 plays
EPA/Pass
#71-0.016
124 plays
-0.156#24
allowed · 112 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#70.255
121 plays
45.1%#69
allowed · 277 plays
Success Rate
#2251.0%
245 plays
46.2%#105
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8943.5%
39.7%#18
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#558.7%
37.2%#44
allowed
Available Yards %
#1461.3%
77.2#4
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#6270.1
-0.001#89
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#78-0.006
191 plays
7.6#45
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#456.5
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.186
320 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.118
245 plays
-0.021
277 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.047
178 plays
-0.016
76 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.073
55 plays · small sample
0.441
28 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.383
9 plays · small sample
0.639
61 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.583
60 plays
0.091
65 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.132
54 plays · small sample