Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET· Lane Stadium/Worsham Field· Virginia Tech -8.5 · O/U 54
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 327 mi / 0 miForecast: 50°F · wind 16 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Virginia Tech -8.5 · O/U 54
opened Virginia Tech -9.5, now Virginia Tech -8.5 · total opened 53.5, now 54
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Georgia Tech as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 14-10 ATS (24 games) · 9-15 O/U (24 games)
Virginia Tech as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 15-13-1 ATS (29 games) · 18-11 O/U (29 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalVirginia Tech · 8 of 9
372.6
Yards / game
458.3
2.42
Points / drive
2.92
3.0
TDs / game
4.5
36.2
3rd-down %
42.5
55.6
RZ TD %
61.5
-0.6
Turnover margin
-0.8
1.2
Sacks / game
3.2
6.6
TFL / game
9.8
11.4
Havoc / game
17.8
49.2 / 50.8
Pass / Rush split
49.8 / 50.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Georgia Tech has the ball
Georgia Tech's early-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Virginia Tech's early-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
Georgia Tech's passing-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Virginia Tech's passing-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Georgia Tech's third-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Virginia Tech's third-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
Georgia Tech's red-zone offense ranks 110th of 138. Virginia Tech's red-zone defense ranks 125th of 138.
When Virginia Tech has the ball
Virginia Tech's early-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. Georgia Tech's early-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
Virginia Tech's passing-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Georgia Tech's passing-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
Virginia Tech's third-down offense ranks 71st of 138. Georgia Tech's third-down defense ranks 132nd of 138.
Virginia Tech's red-zone offense ranks 85th of 138. Georgia Tech's red-zone defense ranks 43rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.188 last 3 vs 0.052 season (+0.136)
Defense formabout the same(0.128 last 3 vs 0.128 season)
▼Offense form-0.059 last 3 vs 0.092 season (-0.151)
▼Defense form-0.014 last 3 vs -0.170 season (+0.155)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAlberto Mendoza — 1193 yd, 7 TD
RushingJustice Haynes — 462 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJordan Allen — 312 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingEthan Grunkemeyer — 1734 yd, 12 TD
RushingJeffrey Overton, Jr. — 528 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingQue'Sean Brown — 434 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Georgia Tech offense
54thof 1380.054235 plays
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
84thof 1380.004Georgia Tech defense · allowed
87thof 1380.007vs
Virginia Tech offense
52ndof 1380.058280 plays
Passing downs
Georgia Tech offense
60thof 1380.069104 plays
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.079147 plays
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
133rdof 1380.344125 plays
vs
Virginia Tech offense
37thof 1380.183139 plays
Third down
Georgia Tech offense
69thof 1380.07858 plays · small sample
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
86thof 1380.05684 plays
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
132ndof 1380.37575 plays
vs
Virginia Tech offense
71stof 1380.05687 plays
Red zone
Georgia Tech offense
110thof 138-0.14151 plays · small sample
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
125thof 1380.30742 plays · small sample
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.14643 plays · small sample
vs
Virginia Tech offense
85thof 138-0.03769 plays
Field advancement
Georgia Tech offense
69thof 13849.6%vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
19thof 13832.7%Georgia Tech defense · allowed
116thof 13850.1%vs
Virginia Tech offense
26thof 13856.7%Away
Home
Georgia Tech Offense vs Virginia Tech DefenseVirginia Tech · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.03#80
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#590.05
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.041#62
298 plays
EPA/Play
#70-0.016
allowed · 286 plays
0.090#42
152 plays
EPA/Pass
#1070.099
allowed · 145 plays
-0.011#87
146 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#22-0.134
allowed · 141 plays
48.7%#49
298 plays
Success Rate
#4142.3%
allowed · 286 plays
48.0%#42
Pass Success Rate
#7843.7%
allowed
49.3%#60
Rush Success Rate
#435.8%
allowed
49.6%#69
Available Yards %
#1932.7%
allowed
73.1#120
Net Field Position
#6271.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.054#54
235 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#840.004
allowed
7.3#94
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#48.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Georgia Tech Defense vs Virginia Tech OffenseVirginia Tech · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.18#118
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#240.22
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.132#126
allowed · 339 plays
EPA/Play
#530.059
360 plays
0.134#111
allowed · 138 plays
EPA/Pass
#380.112
183 plays
0.131#117
allowed · 201 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#800.003
177 plays
44.8%#60
allowed · 339 plays
Success Rate
#4349.2%
360 plays
40.0%#40
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#4148.1%
46.7%#73
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#4950.3%
50.1%#116
allowed
Available Yards %
#2656.7%
70.9#83
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1567.0
0.007#87
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#520.058
280 plays
6.7#106
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#496.6
2026 · Situational EPAVirginia Tech · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.027
285 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.054
373 plays
0.135
342 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.026
301 plays
-0.141
51 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.037
69 plays
-0.146
43 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.307
42 plays · small sample
0.078
58 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.056
87 plays
0.375
75 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.056
84 plays