Tue, Oct 13, 8:00 PM ET· Burgess-Snow Field· Jacksonville State -3 · O/U 45.5
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 634 mi / 0 miForecast: 70°F · wind 1 mph · Clear
Market context
Jacksonville State -3 · O/U 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Florida International as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 15-17 ATS (32 games) · 18-14 O/U (32 games)
Jacksonville State as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 11-3 ATS (14 games) · 7-7 O/U (14 games)
2026 · TraditionalJacksonville State · 5 of 9
378.4
Yards / game
391.2
1.74
Points / drive
2.52
1.8
TDs / game
3.0
45.1
3rd-down %
48.6
31.6
RZ TD %
47.8
-0.4
Turnover margin
-0.5
2.6
Sacks / game
1.8
6.6
TFL / game
5.5
14.2
Havoc / game
11.5
48.7 / 51.3
Pass / Rush split
46.3 / 53.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Florida International has the ball
Florida International's early-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Jacksonville State's early-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Florida International's passing-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Jacksonville State's passing-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
Florida International's third-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Jacksonville State's third-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
Florida International's red-zone offense ranks 138th of 138. Jacksonville State's red-zone defense ranks 71st of 138.
When Jacksonville State has the ball
Jacksonville State's early-down offense ranks 63rd of 138. Florida International's early-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
Jacksonville State's passing-down offense ranks 45th of 138. Florida International's passing-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Jacksonville State's third-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Florida International's third-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Jacksonville State's red-zone offense ranks 77th of 138. Florida International's red-zone defense ranks 10th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.191 last 3 vs -0.176 season)
▲Defense form-0.341 last 3 vs -0.280 season (-0.060)
Offense formabout the same(0.135 last 3 vs 0.117 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.101 last 3 vs 0.079 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJJ Kohl — 1180 yd, 5 TD
RushingAnthony Carrie — 232 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingMaguire Anderson — 401 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Creel — 1423 yd, 10 TD
RushingCaden Creel — 405 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingDeondre Johnson — 338 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Florida International offense
133rdof 138-0.220258 plays
vs
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
54thof 138-0.039Florida International defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.308vs
Jacksonville State offense
63rdof 1380.033254 plays
Passing downs
Florida International offense
116thof 138-0.165137 plays
vs
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
124thof 1380.239123 plays
Florida International defense · allowed
5thof 138-0.340125 plays
vs
Jacksonville State offense
45thof 1380.137103 plays
Third down
Florida International offense
67thof 1380.09683 plays
vs
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
127thof 1380.30779 plays
Florida International defense · allowed
13thof 138-0.27672 plays
vs
Jacksonville State offense
23rdof 1380.31169 plays
Red zone
Florida International offense
138thof 138-0.72047 plays · small sample
vs
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
71stof 138-0.04153 plays · small sample
Florida International defense · allowed
10thof 138-0.41642 plays · small sample
vs
Jacksonville State offense
77thof 138-0.02058 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Florida International offense
67thof 13849.9%vs
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
101stof 13848.3%Florida International defense · allowed
5thof 13829.2%vs
Jacksonville State offense
38thof 13854.2%Florida International Offense vs Jacksonville State DefenseJacksonville State · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.25#118
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#94-0.06
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.183#132
356 plays
EPA/Play
#1130.084
allowed · 343 plays
-0.209#123
173 plays
EPA/Pass
#890.038
allowed · 147 plays
-0.158#124
183 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1120.118
allowed · 196 plays
42.4%#122
356 plays
Success Rate
#9547.2%
allowed · 343 plays
45.1%#70
Pass Success Rate
#9744.9%
allowed
39.9%#134
Rush Success Rate
#9548.4%
allowed
49.9%#67
Available Yards %
#10148.3%
allowed
69.3#52
Net Field Position
#5572.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.220#133
258 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#54-0.039
allowed
6.8#61
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#667.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Florida International Defense vs Jacksonville State OffenseFlorida International · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.23#21
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#530.08
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.282#5
allowed · 302 plays
EPA/Play
#330.118
325 plays
-0.308#10
allowed · 146 plays
EPA/Pass
#230.201
153 plays
-0.257#7
allowed · 156 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#630.045
172 plays
37.7%#6
allowed · 302 plays
Success Rate
#1652.0%
325 plays
37.7%#21
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2651.6%
37.8%#7
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#2652.3%
29.2%#5
allowed
Available Yards %
#3854.2%
69.4#110
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#11673.0
-0.308#3
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#630.033
254 plays
8.1#18
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#446.5
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.183
356 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.118
325 plays
-0.282
302 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.084
343 plays
-0.720
47 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.020
58 plays · small sample
-0.416
42 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.041
53 plays · small sample
0.096
83 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.311
69 plays
-0.276
72 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.307
79 plays