Fourth Down Data
Eastern Michigan2-3 · Mid-American@Massachusetts4-0 · Mid-American
Share →
Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium· Massachusetts -6.5 · O/U 48.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 567 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 5 mph · Clear
Market context
Massachusetts -6.5 · O/U 48.5
opened Massachusetts -5, now Massachusetts -6.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Eastern Michigan as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 16-15-1 ATS (32 games) · 15-17 O/U (32 games)
Massachusetts as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 2-6 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMassachusetts · 6 of 9
292.0
Yards / game
350.0
1.65
Points / drive
3.22
2.2
TDs / game
3.8
35.7
3rd-down %
33.3
63.6
RZ TD %
64.3
0.0
Turnover margin
2.5
1.8
Sacks / game
2.8
5.2
TFL / game
4.0
13.2
Havoc / game
12.8
55.2 / 44.8
Pass / Rush split
35.6 / 64.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Eastern Michigan has the ball
Eastern Michigan's early-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Massachusetts's early-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Eastern Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Massachusetts's passing-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
Eastern Michigan's third-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Massachusetts's third-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Eastern Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 61st of 138. Massachusetts's red-zone defense ranks 42nd of 138.
When Massachusetts has the ball
Massachusetts's early-down offense ranks 27th of 138. Eastern Michigan's early-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Massachusetts's passing-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Eastern Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Massachusetts's third-down offense ranks 124th of 138. Eastern Michigan's third-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
Massachusetts's red-zone offense ranks 66th of 138. Eastern Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 106th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.141 last 3 vs -0.160 season)
▼Defense form0.080 last 3 vs -0.046 season (+0.126)
Offense formabout the same(0.117 last 3 vs 0.123 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.315 last 3 vs -0.339 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNoah Kim — 968 yd, 6 TD
RushingAmareon Blue — 243 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingBenson Prosper — 220 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWilliam Pop Watson III — 610 yd, 6 TD
RushingElijah Faulkner — 227 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingT.Y. Harding — 221 yd, 2 TD