Fourth Down Data
East Carolina5-4 · American Athletic@Charlotte1-8 · American Athletic
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Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET· Jerry Richardson Stadium· East Carolina -11.5 · O/U 44.5
Rest 8d / 7dTravel 191 mi / 0 miForecast: 52°F · wind 14 mph · Clear
Market context
East Carolina -11.5 · O/U 44.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
East Carolina as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 5-6 ATS (11 games) · 7-4 O/U (11 games)
Charlotte as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 4-4 O/U (8 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-6 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 5-20 ATS (25 games) · 14-11 O/U (25 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEast Carolina · 8 of 9
352.1
Yards / game
318.3
1.88
Points / drive
1.70
2.6
TDs / game
2.2
32.3
3rd-down %
32.2
53.1
RZ TD %
56.5
-0.3
Turnover margin
-0.7
2.7
Sacks / game
1.4
8.9
TFL / game
4.9
15.2
Havoc / game
9.1
46.0 / 54.0
Pass / Rush split
49.6 / 50.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When East Carolina has the ball
East Carolina's early-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Charlotte's early-down defense ranks 130th of 138.
East Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Charlotte's passing-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
East Carolina's third-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Charlotte's third-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
East Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 97th of 138. Charlotte's red-zone defense ranks 131st of 138.
When Charlotte has the ball
Charlotte's early-down offense ranks 112th of 138. East Carolina's early-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Charlotte's passing-down offense ranks 99th of 138. East Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
Charlotte's third-down offense ranks 88th of 138. East Carolina's third-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Charlotte's red-zone offense ranks 80th of 138. East Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 40th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.059 last 3 vs -0.057 season)
▼Defense form-0.063 last 3 vs -0.146 season (+0.083)
▲Offense form0.045 last 3 vs -0.112 season (+0.157)
▲Defense form0.040 last 3 vs 0.116 season (-0.076)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingEmory Williams — 891 yd, 9 TD
RushingTJ Engleman Jr. — 695 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingRay Ray Joseph Jr. — 365 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingConner Harrell — 1006 yd, 6 TD
RushingHenry Rutledge — 454 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJaden Barnes — 542 yd, 2 TD