Fourth Down Data
East Carolina3-3 · American Athletic@Memphis5-2 · American Athletic
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Thu, Oct 22, 7:30 PM ET· Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium· Memphis -10.5 · O/U 54
Rest 7d / 6dTravel 711 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
Memphis -10.5 · O/U 54
total opened 53.5, now 54
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
East Carolina as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 16-11 ATS (27 games) · 10-16-1 O/U (27 games)
Memphis as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-2-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 10-19-2 ATS (31 games) · 16-11-3 O/U (30 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMemphis · 6 of 9
339.2
Yards / game
511.7
1.88
Points / drive
2.87
2.7
TDs / game
4.6
31.3
3rd-down %
45.1
52.6
RZ TD %
53.1
-0.3
Turnover margin
0.3
3.0
Sacks / game
2.3
10.2
TFL / game
5.7
17.3
Havoc / game
12.0
44.8 / 55.2
Pass / Rush split
39.2 / 60.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When East Carolina has the ball
East Carolina's early-down offense ranks 112th of 138. Memphis's early-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
East Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Memphis's passing-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
East Carolina's third-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Memphis's third-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
East Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 98th of 138. Memphis's red-zone defense ranks 43rd of 138.
When Memphis has the ball
Memphis's early-down offense ranks 8th of 138. East Carolina's early-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
Memphis's passing-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. East Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
Memphis's third-down offense ranks 58th of 138. East Carolina's third-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
Memphis's red-zone offense ranks 123rd of 138. East Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 61st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.023 last 3 vs -0.056 season (+0.079)
▲Defense form-0.364 last 3 vs -0.187 season (-0.177)
▼Offense form0.101 last 3 vs 0.174 season (-0.073)
▲Defense form-0.189 last 3 vs -0.050 season (-0.139)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingEmory Williams — 655 yd, 7 TD
RushingTJ Engleman Jr. — 490 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingRay Ray Joseph Jr. — 272 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMarcus Stokes — 1841 yd, 18 TD
RushingJaylin Carter — 780 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingHunter Tipton — 380 yd, 5 TD