Fourth Down Data
Duke7-2 · ACC@#5Miami8-1 · ACC
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Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· Hard Rock Stadium· Miami -13.5 · O/U 54
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 698 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 13 mph · Clear
Market context
Miami -13.5 · O/U 54
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Duke as road underdog
2026 overall: 6-2 ATS (8 games) · 2-6 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-15 ATS (26 games) · 14-12 O/U (26 games)
Miami as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-3-1 ATS (9 games) · 8-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 16-20 ATS (36 games) · 19-17 O/U (36 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMiami · 6 of 9
425.1
Yards / game
516.6
2.74
Points / drive
3.89
3.9
TDs / game
5.9
42.0
3rd-down %
52.9
61.5
RZ TD %
78.7
0.4
Turnover margin
0.6
2.9
Sacks / game
2.7
6.1
TFL / game
4.7
13.1
Havoc / game
10.9
46.2 / 53.8
Pass / Rush split
48.3 / 51.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Duke has the ball
Duke's early-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Miami's early-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Duke's passing-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Miami's passing-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Duke's third-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Miami's third-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Duke's red-zone offense ranks 72nd of 138. Miami's red-zone defense ranks 30th of 138.
When Miami has the ball
Miami's early-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Duke's early-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Miami's passing-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Duke's passing-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Miami's third-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Duke's third-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Miami's red-zone offense ranks 21st of 138. Duke's red-zone defense ranks 11th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.207 last 3 vs 0.149 season (+0.058)
▲Defense form-0.214 last 3 vs -0.135 season (-0.079)
Offense formabout the same(0.277 last 3 vs 0.308 season)
▼Defense form0.019 last 3 vs -0.137 season (+0.156)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWalker Eget — 1849 yd, 10 TD
RushingNate Sheppard — 1189 yd, 17 TD
ReceivingJonah Burton — 360 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDarian Mensah — 2694 yd, 28 TD
RushingMark Fletcher Jr. — 514 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingMalachi Toney — 1027 yd, 13 TD