Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET· Bobby Dodd Stadium· Duke -6.5 · O/U 51.5
Rest 14d / 14dTravel 345 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 16 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Duke -6.5 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Duke as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-1-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 6-5-1 ATS (12 games) · 9-3 O/U (12 games)
Georgia Tech as home underdog
2026 overall: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 12-9 ATS (21 games) · 9-11-1 O/U (21 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalDuke · 8 of 9
466.3
Yards / game
370.0
3.02
Points / drive
2.32
4.8
TDs / game
2.8
43.1
3rd-down %
35.4
66.7
RZ TD %
46.7
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.8
2.8
Sacks / game
1.5
5.5
TFL / game
7.0
13.5
Havoc / game
12.0
39.1 / 60.9
Pass / Rush split
48.4 / 51.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Duke has the ball
Duke's early-down offense ranks 20th of 138. Georgia Tech's early-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Duke's passing-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Georgia Tech's passing-down defense ranks 131st of 138.
Duke's third-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Georgia Tech's third-down defense ranks 122nd of 138.
Duke's red-zone offense ranks 87th of 138. Georgia Tech's red-zone defense ranks 20th of 138.
When Georgia Tech has the ball
Georgia Tech's early-down offense ranks 77th of 138. Duke's early-down defense ranks 50th of 138.
Georgia Tech's passing-down offense ranks 56th of 138. Duke's passing-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Georgia Tech's third-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Duke's third-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Georgia Tech's red-zone offense ranks 116th of 138. Duke's red-zone defense ranks 41st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.264 last 3 vs 0.159 season (+0.105)
▼Defense form-0.106 last 3 vs -0.171 season (+0.065)
▲Offense form0.090 last 3 vs 0.024 season (+0.066)
Defense formabout the same(0.154 last 3 vs 0.114 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWalker Eget — 721 yd, 6 TD
RushingNate Sheppard — 644 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Hasley — 195 yd, 0 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAlberto Mendoza — 975 yd, 6 TD
RushingJustice Haynes — 393 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingDalen Penson — 241 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Duke offense
20thof 1380.160185 plays
vs
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.016Duke defense · allowed
50thof 138-0.073vs
Georgia Tech offense
77thof 138-0.003190 plays
Passing downs
Duke offense
31stof 1380.20493 plays
vs
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
131stof 1380.30394 plays
Duke defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.30391 plays
vs
Georgia Tech offense
56thof 1380.08587 plays
Third down
Duke offense
32ndof 1380.27152 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
122ndof 1380.25958 plays · small sample
Duke defense · allowed
13thof 138-0.30150 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia Tech offense
67thof 1380.10748 plays · small sample
Red zone
Duke offense
87thof 138-0.03645 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
20thof 138-0.33633 plays · small sample
Duke defense · allowed
41stof 138-0.18815 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia Tech offense
116thof 138-0.25343 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Duke offense
29thof 13856.7%vs
Georgia Tech defense · allowed
99thof 13847.3%Duke defense · allowed
14thof 13830.6%vs
Georgia Tech offense
71stof 13849.1%Away
Home
Duke Offense vs Georgia Tech DefenseDuke · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.09#50
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#119-0.17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.119#33
238 plays
EPA/Play
#1220.117
allowed · 262 plays
0.055#53
97 plays
EPA/Pass
#1230.189
allowed · 96 plays
0.163#20
141 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1070.076
allowed · 166 plays
48.3%#54
238 plays
Success Rate
#7245.4%
allowed · 262 plays
50.5%#30
Pass Success Rate
#5340.8%
allowed
46.8%#87
Rush Success Rate
#7146.3%
allowed
56.7%#29
Available Yards %
#9947.3%
allowed
67.7#31
Net Field Position
#9370.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.160#20
185 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#930.016
allowed
6.2#22
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1146.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Duke Defense vs Georgia Tech OffenseDuke · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.16#32
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#86-0.06
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.166#18
allowed · 196 plays
EPA/Play
#700.011
241 plays
-0.114#46
allowed · 105 plays
EPA/Pass
#390.117
122 plays
-0.226#11
allowed · 91 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#117-0.098
119 plays
41.3%#36
allowed · 196 plays
Success Rate
#6947.3%
241 plays
37.4%#26
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#4748.4%
40.4%#23
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9446.2%
30.6%#14
allowed
Available Yards %
#7149.1%
73.5#37
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#8671.6
-0.073#50
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#77-0.003
190 plays
8.1#23
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1057.5
2026 · Situational EPADuke · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.105
230 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.009
228 plays
-0.155
195 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.121
265 plays
-0.036
45 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.253
43 plays · small sample
-0.188
15 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.336
33 plays · small sample
0.271
52 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.107
48 plays · small sample
-0.301
50 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.259
58 plays · small sample