Fourth Down Data
Cincinnati4-0 · Big 12@Arizona3-1 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 3, 11:00 PM ET· Arizona Stadium· Arizona -7 · O/U 55.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,552 mi / 0 miForecast: 76°F · wind 18 mph · Clear
Market context
Arizona -7 · O/U 55.5
opened Arizona -7.5, now Arizona -7 · total opened 55, now 55.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Cincinnati as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 5-12 ATS (17 games) · 9-7-1 O/U (17 games)
Arizona as home favorite
2026 overall: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 0-5 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 8-11 ATS (19 games) · 6-13 O/U (19 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalCincinnati · 5 of 9
477.8
Yards / game
433.8
3.21
Points / drive
2.82
5.5
TDs / game
4.0
50.0
3rd-down %
56.0
88.9
RZ TD %
78.6
1.0
Turnover margin
-0.8
2.0
Sacks / game
3.8
5.0
TFL / game
6.8
13.0
Havoc / game
14.8
38.1 / 61.9
Pass / Rush split
52.2 / 47.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Cincinnati has the ball
Cincinnati's early-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Arizona's early-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Cincinnati's passing-down offense ranks 34th of 138. Arizona's passing-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
Cincinnati's third-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. Arizona's third-down defense ranks 116th of 138.
Cincinnati's red-zone offense ranks 9th of 138. Arizona's red-zone defense ranks 35th of 138.
When Arizona has the ball
Arizona's early-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Cincinnati's early-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
Arizona's passing-down offense ranks 17th of 138. Cincinnati's passing-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Arizona's third-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Cincinnati's third-down defense ranks 101st of 138.
Arizona's red-zone offense ranks 29th of 138. Cincinnati's red-zone defense ranks 48th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.273 last 3 vs 0.227 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.055 last 3 vs 0.018 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.185 last 3 vs 0.175 season)
▼Defense form0.019 last 3 vs -0.049 season (+0.069)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJC French IV — 796 yd, 6 TD
RushingGi'Bran Payne — 368 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJV Gibson — 267 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNoah Fifita — 1131 yd, 11 TD
RushingKedrick Reescano — 161 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingTré Spivey — 278 yd, 4 TD