Neutral siteWed, Nov 4, 7:30 PM ET· Ford Field· Eastern Michigan -2.5 · O/U 45.5
Rest 11d / 11dTravel 122 mi / 31 mi
Market context
Eastern Michigan -2.5 · O/U 45.5
opened Eastern Michigan -1.5, now Eastern Michigan -2.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Central Michigan as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 13-15 ATS (28 games) · 14-14 O/U (28 games)
Eastern Michigan as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-10 ATS (19 games) · 9-10 O/U (19 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEastern Michigan · 6 of 9
291.5
Yards / game
318.6
1.64
Points / drive
1.82
2.3
TDs / game
2.3
35.8
3rd-down %
38.6
61.5
RZ TD %
56.0
0.3
Turnover margin
0.0
1.9
Sacks / game
1.6
3.8
TFL / game
4.7
10.5
Havoc / game
11.8
36.4 / 63.6
Pass / Rush split
55.2 / 44.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Central Michigan has the ball
Central Michigan's early-down offense ranks 121st of 138. Eastern Michigan's early-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Central Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 120th of 138. Eastern Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Central Michigan's third-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Eastern Michigan's third-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
Central Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 16th of 138. Eastern Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 76th of 138.
When Eastern Michigan has the ball
Eastern Michigan's early-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Central Michigan's early-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
Eastern Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Central Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
Eastern Michigan's third-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Central Michigan's third-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Eastern Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 101st of 138. Central Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 92nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.270 last 3 vs -0.223 season)
▼Defense form0.086 last 3 vs 0.009 season (+0.076)
Offense formabout the same(-0.145 last 3 vs -0.100 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.051 last 3 vs -0.062 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAngel Flores — 475 yd, 2 TD
RushingAngel Flores — 618 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis — 379 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNoah Kim — 1678 yd, 11 TD
RushingAmareon Blue — 405 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJoshua Long — 383 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Central Michigan offense
121stof 138-0.119280 plays
vs
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.081Central Michigan defense · allowed
42ndof 138-0.061vs
Eastern Michigan offense
107thof 138-0.078411 plays
Passing downs
Central Michigan offense
120thof 138-0.130165 plays
vs
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
44thof 138-0.085195 plays
Central Michigan defense · allowed
61stof 138-0.042168 plays
vs
Eastern Michigan offense
99thof 138-0.071220 plays
Third down
Central Michigan offense
107thof 138-0.106108 plays
vs
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
87thof 1380.075116 plays
Central Michigan defense · allowed
113thof 1380.185104 plays
vs
Eastern Michigan offense
93rdof 138-0.021132 plays
Red zone
Central Michigan offense
16thof 1380.26337 plays · small sample
vs
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
76thof 1380.01060 plays
Central Michigan defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.04883 plays
vs
Eastern Michigan offense
101stof 138-0.09874 plays
Field advancement
Central Michigan offense
132ndof 13836.5%vs
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
92ndof 13846.6%Central Michigan defense · allowed
114thof 13850.1%vs
Eastern Michigan offense
114thof 13840.7%Away
Home
Central Michigan Offense vs Eastern Michigan DefenseEastern Michigan · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.34#127
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90-0.06
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.132#126
381 plays
EPA/Play
#43-0.065
allowed · 503 plays
-0.340#138
134 plays
EPA/Pass
#970.073
allowed · 254 plays
-0.019#92
247 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#8-0.206
allowed · 249 plays
42.3%#124
381 plays
Success Rate
#7746.1%
allowed · 503 plays
29.9%#138
Pass Success Rate
#12448.9%
allowed
49.0%#65
Rush Success Rate
#3143.7%
allowed
36.5%#132
Available Yards %
#9246.6%
allowed
71.5#92
Net Field Position
#8970.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.119#121
280 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#37-0.081
allowed
6.9#66
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#936.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Central Michigan Defense vs Eastern Michigan OffenseEven · 5-5-1
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.19#112
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#106-0.20
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.002#77
allowed · 420 plays
EPA/Play
#113-0.080
543 plays
-0.168#23
allowed · 176 plays
EPA/Pass
#116-0.160
303 plays
0.119#122
allowed · 244 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#650.021
240 plays
50.0%#128
allowed · 420 plays
Success Rate
#9145.5%
543 plays
44.5%#93
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#10441.3%
53.0%#134
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#3750.8%
50.1%#114
allowed
Available Yards %
#11440.7%
68.8#119
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#12873.2
-0.061#42
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#107-0.078
411 plays
6.7#109
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#877.2
2026 · Situational EPAEastern Michigan · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.145
381 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.069
553 plays
-0.007
426 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.075
496 plays
0.263
37 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.098
74 plays
0.048
83 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.010
60 plays
-0.106
108 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.021
132 plays
0.185
104 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.075
116 plays