Fourth Down Data
UCF3-2 · Big 12@#19Oklahoma State3-1 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET· Boone Pickens Stadium at Lewis Field· Oklahoma State -10 · O/U 51.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 1,060 mi / 0 miForecast: 79°F · wind 10 mph · Clear
Market context
Oklahoma State -10 · O/U 51.5
opened Oklahoma State -9.5, now Oklahoma State -10
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
UCF as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 8-12 ATS (20 games) · 11-9 O/U (20 games)
Oklahoma State as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 11-17 ATS (28 games) · 12-14 O/U (26 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalUCF · 6 of 9
350.8
Yards / game
548.3
2.18
Points / drive
2.75
4.0
TDs / game
4.3
33.3
3rd-down %
32.0
72.2
RZ TD %
45.8
1.0
Turnover margin
-1.0
2.2
Sacks / game
2.0
5.6
TFL / game
5.0
12.8
Havoc / game
12.0
45.4 / 54.6
Pass / Rush split
47.4 / 52.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When UCF has the ball
UCF's early-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Oklahoma State's early-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
UCF's passing-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Oklahoma State's passing-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
UCF's third-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Oklahoma State's third-down defense ranks 19th of 138.
UCF's red-zone offense ranks 49th of 138. Oklahoma State's red-zone defense ranks 21st of 138.
When Oklahoma State has the ball
Oklahoma State's early-down offense ranks 4th of 138. UCF's early-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Oklahoma State's passing-down offense ranks 76th of 138. UCF's passing-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Oklahoma State's third-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. UCF's third-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
Oklahoma State's red-zone offense ranks 128th of 138. UCF's red-zone defense ranks 43rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.028 last 3 vs -0.071 season)
▼Defense form-0.020 last 3 vs -0.153 season (+0.133)
▲Offense form0.269 last 3 vs 0.161 season (+0.107)
▲Defense form-0.190 last 3 vs -0.132 season (-0.058)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKeyone Jenkins — 541 yd, 4 TD
RushingDuke Watson — 404 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJosh Derry — 220 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDrew Mestemaker — 1271 yd, 11 TD
RushingCaleb Hawkins — 441 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingWyatt Young — 410 yd, 3 TD