Wed, Oct 14, 7:30 PM ET· Plaster Stadium· Kennesaw State -3 · O/U 50.5
Rest 7d / 6dTravel 536 mi / 0 miForecast: 74°F · wind 6 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Kennesaw State -3 · O/U 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Kennesaw State as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Missouri State as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEven · 4-4-1
376.4
Yards / game
344.2
2.02
Points / drive
2.12
2.8
TDs / game
2.6
43.3
3rd-down %
31.7
57.9
RZ TD %
53.3
0.2
Turnover margin
0.2
1.0
Sacks / game
1.2
3.4
TFL / game
4.2
8.8
Havoc / game
11.8
49.4 / 50.6
Pass / Rush split
45.8 / 54.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Kennesaw State has the ball
Kennesaw State's early-down offense ranks 84th of 138. Missouri State's early-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
Kennesaw State's passing-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Missouri State's passing-down defense ranks 106th of 138.
Kennesaw State's third-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Missouri State's third-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Kennesaw State's red-zone offense ranks 89th of 138. Missouri State's red-zone defense ranks 75th of 138.
When Missouri State has the ball
Missouri State's early-down offense ranks 62nd of 138. Kennesaw State's early-down defense ranks 114th of 138.
Missouri State's passing-down offense ranks 102nd of 138. Kennesaw State's passing-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Missouri State's third-down offense ranks 88th of 138. Kennesaw State's third-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Missouri State's red-zone offense ranks 116th of 138. Kennesaw State's red-zone defense ranks 133rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.066 last 3 vs -0.058 season)
▼Defense form0.106 last 3 vs -0.027 season (+0.132)
▲Offense form0.023 last 3 vs -0.054 season (+0.077)
▼Defense form0.148 last 3 vs 0.045 season (+0.103)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRickie Collins — 1042 yd, 3 TD
RushingRickie Collins — 246 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingBrayden Munroe — 299 yd, 0 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingSkyler Locklear — 788 yd, 4 TD
RushingBreezy Dubar — 218 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingIsaiah Myers — 419 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Kennesaw State offense
84thof 138-0.024199 plays
vs
Missouri State defense · allowed
95thof 1380.022Kennesaw State defense · allowed
114thof 1380.068vs
Missouri State offense
62ndof 1380.037187 plays
Passing downs
Kennesaw State offense
94thof 138-0.056109 plays
vs
Missouri State defense · allowed
106thof 1380.135115 plays
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
99thof 1380.111103 plays
vs
Missouri State offense
102ndof 138-0.087108 plays
Third down
Kennesaw State offense
53rdof 1380.14960 plays
vs
Missouri State defense · allowed
109thof 1380.19669 plays
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
82ndof 1380.04661 plays
vs
Missouri State offense
88thof 138-0.03667 plays
Red zone
Kennesaw State offense
89thof 138-0.04650 plays · small sample
vs
Missouri State defense · allowed
75thof 138-0.03567 plays
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
133rdof 1380.37841 plays · small sample
vs
Missouri State offense
116thof 138-0.19040 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Kennesaw State offense
91stof 13845.4%vs
Missouri State defense · allowed
136thof 13857.6%Kennesaw State defense · allowed
93rdof 13846.5%vs
Missouri State offense
94thof 13844.3%Away
Home
Kennesaw State Offense vs Missouri State DefenseKennesaw State · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.15#102
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#112-0.16
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.038#93
249 plays
EPA/Play
#1180.091
allowed · 298 plays
-0.034#78
123 plays
EPA/Pass
#920.047
allowed · 131 plays
-0.042#98
126 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1150.126
allowed · 167 plays
44.6%#101
249 plays
Success Rate
#13150.7%
allowed · 298 plays
45.5%#67
Pass Success Rate
#11747.5%
allowed
43.7%#115
Rush Success Rate
#13755.3%
allowed
45.4%#91
Available Yards %
#13657.6%
allowed
72.4#106
Net Field Position
#13167.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.024#84
199 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#950.022
allowed
7.0#72
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#807.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Kennesaw State Defense vs Missouri State OffenseMissouri State · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.06#95
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#93-0.10
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.060#106
allowed · 271 plays
EPA/Play
#770.013
250 plays
0.096#106
allowed · 131 plays
EPA/Pass
#85-0.050
127 plays
0.027#84
allowed · 140 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#470.079
123 plays
47.6%#100
allowed · 271 plays
Success Rate
#10444.4%
250 plays
44.7%#93
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#12038.6%
48.3%#94
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#4850.4%
46.5%#93
allowed
Available Yards %
#9444.3%
71.5#69
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#13274.3
0.068#114
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#620.037
187 plays
7.2#69
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1157.7
2026 · Situational EPAKennesaw State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.024
267 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.015
255 plays
0.049
288 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.105
310 plays
-0.046
50 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.190
40 plays · small sample
0.378
41 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.035
67 plays
0.149
60 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.036
67 plays
0.046
61 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.196
69 plays