Fourth Down Data
Buffalo2-3 · Mid-American@Toledo4-1 · Mid-American
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Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET· Glass Bowl
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 264 mi / 0 miForecast: 66°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Away
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2026 · TraditionalToledo · 9 of 9
312.4
Yards / game
485.0
1.56
Points / drive
3.24
2.4
TDs / game
5.2
35.3
3rd-down %
48.5
62.5
RZ TD %
80.0
-1.4
Turnover margin
0.4
1.2
Sacks / game
2.0
4.6
TFL / game
4.8
11.0
Havoc / game
12.0
43.6 / 56.4
Pass / Rush split
45.8 / 54.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Buffalo has the ball
Buffalo's early-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Toledo's early-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Buffalo's passing-down offense ranks 108th of 138. Toledo's passing-down defense ranks 48th of 138.
Buffalo's third-down offense ranks 119th of 138. Toledo's third-down defense ranks 50th of 138.
Buffalo's red-zone offense ranks 43rd of 138. Toledo's red-zone defense ranks 98th of 138.
When Toledo has the ball
Toledo's early-down offense ranks 6th of 138. Buffalo's early-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Toledo's passing-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Buffalo's passing-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
Toledo's third-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Buffalo's third-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Toledo's red-zone offense ranks 2nd of 138. Buffalo's red-zone defense ranks 102nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.118 last 3 vs -0.119 season)
▼Defense form0.045 last 3 vs -0.013 season (+0.058)
Offense formabout the same(0.134 last 3 vs 0.152 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.146 last 3 vs -0.172 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJason Wright — 555 yd, 4 TD
RushingMessiah Burch — 352 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingChance Morrow — 397 yd, 6 TD
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2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJohn Alan Richter — 1362 yd, 13 TD
RushingCJ Miller — 346 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingAdjatay Dabbs — 367 yd, 4 TD