Fourth Down Data
West Virginia3-1 · Big 12@Iowa State2-2 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET· MidAmerican Energy Field at Jack Trice Stadium· Iowa State -3.5 · O/U 53
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 733 mi / 0 miForecast: 62°F · wind 11 mph · Clear
Market context
Iowa State -3.5 · O/U 53
opened Iowa State -3, now Iowa State -3.5 · total opened 52.5, now 53
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
West Virginia as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 14-13 ATS (27 games) · 13-13 O/U (26 games)
Iowa State as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 19-16 ATS (35 games) · 13-21 O/U (34 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalWest Virginia · 8 of 9
460.5
Yards / game
345.3
2.75
Points / drive
2.34
4.8
TDs / game
3.3
53.2
3rd-down %
31.9
61.1
RZ TD %
66.7
0.5
Turnover margin
0.3
2.5
Sacks / game
1.8
6.3
TFL / game
6.0
13.5
Havoc / game
11.8
22.1 / 77.9
Pass / Rush split
39.5 / 60.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When West Virginia has the ball
West Virginia's early-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Iowa State's early-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
West Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Iowa State's passing-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
West Virginia's third-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Iowa State's third-down defense ranks 23rd of 138.
West Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 90th of 138. Iowa State's red-zone defense ranks 99th of 138.
When Iowa State has the ball
Iowa State's early-down offense ranks 63rd of 138. West Virginia's early-down defense ranks 135th of 138.
Iowa State's passing-down offense ranks 89th of 138. West Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Iowa State's third-down offense ranks 97th of 138. West Virginia's third-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Iowa State's red-zone offense ranks 45th of 138. West Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 29th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.179 last 3 vs 0.139 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.113 last 3 vs 0.102 season)
Offense formabout the same(-0.005 last 3 vs 0.020 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.079 last 3 vs -0.119 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMichael Hawkins Jr. — 609 yd, 5 TD
RushingCam Cook — 510 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingDJ Epps — 279 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaylen Raynor — 639 yd, 5 TD
RushingAiden Flora — 382 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingOmari Hayes — 156 yd, 0 TD