Sat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM ET· Nippert Stadium· Utah -9.5 · O/U 56.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,446 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Utah -9.5 · O/U 56.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Utah as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 9-14 ATS (23 games) · 14-9 O/U (23 games)
Cincinnati as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 4-4-1 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEven · 4-4-1
486.5
Yards / game
460.0
3.51
Points / drive
2.85
5.3
TDs / game
4.8
53.2
3rd-down %
49.4
75.0
RZ TD %
84.0
0.7
Turnover margin
0.8
1.8
Sacks / game
2.3
4.3
TFL / game
5.8
13.3
Havoc / game
13.3
44.3 / 55.7
Pass / Rush split
40.8 / 59.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Utah has the ball
Utah's early-down offense ranks 20th of 138. Cincinnati's early-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Utah's passing-down offense ranks 13th of 138. Cincinnati's passing-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
Utah's third-down offense ranks 15th of 138. Cincinnati's third-down defense ranks 131st of 138.
Utah's red-zone offense ranks 30th of 138. Cincinnati's red-zone defense ranks 45th of 138.
When Cincinnati has the ball
Cincinnati's early-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. Utah's early-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Cincinnati's passing-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Utah's passing-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Cincinnati's third-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Utah's third-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Cincinnati's red-zone offense ranks 17th of 138. Utah's red-zone defense ranks 8th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.168 last 3 vs 0.205 season)
▼Defense form-0.006 last 3 vs -0.116 season (+0.110)
Offense formabout the same(0.116 last 3 vs 0.166 season)
▼Defense form0.172 last 3 vs 0.082 season (+0.090)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDevon Dampier — 1412 yd, 15 TD
RushingWayshawn Parker — 597 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingBraden Pegan — 422 yd, 6 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJC French IV — 1338 yd, 9 TD
RushingCole Tabb — 448 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingJV Gibson — 342 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Utah offense
20thof 1380.131270 plays
vs
Cincinnati defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.025Utah defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.080vs
Cincinnati offense
43rdof 1380.073270 plays
Passing downs
Utah offense
13thof 1380.322121 plays
vs
Cincinnati defense · allowed
110thof 1380.140144 plays
Utah defense · allowed
81stof 1380.007162 plays
vs
Cincinnati offense
19thof 1380.243130 plays
Third down
Utah offense
15thof 1380.37878 plays
vs
Cincinnati defense · allowed
131stof 1380.32181 plays
Utah defense · allowed
49thof 138-0.05482 plays
vs
Cincinnati offense
1stof 1380.65077 plays
Red zone
Utah offense
30thof 1380.14581 plays
vs
Cincinnati defense · allowed
45thof 138-0.15971 plays
Utah defense · allowed
8thof 138-0.34339 plays · small sample
vs
Cincinnati offense
17thof 1380.27068 plays
Field advancement
Utah offense
6thof 13861.8%vs
Cincinnati defense · allowed
120thof 13851.5%Utah defense · allowed
24thof 13835.5%vs
Cincinnati offense
23rdof 13855.5%Away
Home
Utah Offense vs Cincinnati DefenseUtah · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.33#14
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#104-0.12
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.188#14
335 plays
EPA/Play
#1160.092
allowed · 374 plays
0.184#20
160 plays
EPA/Pass
#870.039
allowed · 190 plays
0.191#7
175 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1290.148
allowed · 184 plays
51.9%#15
335 plays
Success Rate
#11248.7%
allowed · 374 plays
53.1%#11
Pass Success Rate
#9445.0%
allowed
50.9%#37
Rush Success Rate
#11950.2%
allowed
61.8%#6
Available Yards %
#12051.5%
allowed
68.3#27
Net Field Position
#376.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.131#20
270 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#930.025
allowed
5.8#9
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#647.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Utah Defense vs Cincinnati OffenseUtah · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.17#35
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#480.12
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.084#36
allowed · 283 plays
EPA/Play
#160.181
350 plays
-0.136#30
allowed · 165 plays
EPA/Pass
#140.241
146 plays
-0.010#66
allowed · 118 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#230.138
204 plays
41.0%#19
allowed · 283 plays
Success Rate
#3549.7%
350 plays
35.8%#5
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3250.0%
46.3%#62
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#5449.5%
35.5%#24
allowed
Available Yards %
#2355.5%
73.7#28
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#6670.2
-0.080#34
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#430.073
270 plays
8.1#14
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#446.6
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.164
353 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.187
353 plays
-0.122
295 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.084
383 plays
0.145
81 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.270
68 plays
-0.343
39 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.159
71 plays
0.378
78 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.650
77 plays
-0.054
82 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.321
81 plays