Fourth Down Data
Air Force5-1 · Mountain West@Wyoming4-3 · Mountain West
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Fri, Oct 23, 9:00 PM ET· Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium· Elevation 7,218 ft· Air Force -4.5 · O/U 45.5
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 164 mi / 0 miForecast: 48°F · wind 10 mph · Clear
Market context
Air Force -4.5 · O/U 45.5
opened Air Force -6, now Air Force -4.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Air Force as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 13-10 ATS (23 games) · 10-13 O/U (23 games)
Wyoming as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-4 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-7 ATS (18 games) · 9-9 O/U (18 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalAir Force · 6 of 9
408.0
Yards / game
331.6
3.13
Points / drive
1.83
3.8
TDs / game
2.0
52.9
3rd-down %
33.8
69.2
RZ TD %
46.2
0.5
Turnover margin
-1.0
1.3
Sacks / game
2.4
3.2
TFL / game
5.6
9.7
Havoc / game
12.0
11.8 / 88.2
Pass / Rush split
37.2 / 62.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Air Force has the ball
Air Force's early-down offense ranks 34th of 138. Wyoming's early-down defense ranks 62nd of 138.
Air Force's passing-down offense ranks 74th of 138. Wyoming's passing-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
Air Force's third-down offense ranks 39th of 138. Wyoming's third-down defense ranks 94th of 138.
Air Force's red-zone offense ranks 29th of 138. Wyoming's red-zone defense ranks 39th of 138.
When Wyoming has the ball
Wyoming's early-down offense ranks 91st of 138. Air Force's early-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
Wyoming's passing-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Air Force's passing-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Wyoming's third-down offense ranks 88th of 138. Air Force's third-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Wyoming's red-zone offense ranks 116th of 138. Air Force's red-zone defense ranks 4th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.163 last 3 vs 0.156 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.023 last 3 vs -0.063 season)
▼Offense form-0.150 last 3 vs -0.067 season (-0.083)
Defense formabout the same(-0.018 last 3 vs 0.009 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLiam Szarka — 296 yd, 1 TD
RushingLiam Szarka — 391 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingSimon Kibbee — 121 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTyler Hughes — 1018 yd, 3 TD
RushingTyler Hughes — 459 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingKyle Frendt — 216 yd, 1 TD