Fourth Down Data
Temple1-3 · American Athletic@South Florida4-0 · American Athletic
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Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET· Raymond James Stadium· South Florida -6.5 · O/U 48.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 8d / 7dTravel 924 mi / 0 miForecast: 82°F · wind 8 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
South Florida -6.5 · O/U 48.5
opened South Florida -5.5, now South Florida -6.5 · total opened 51.5, now 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Temple as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 8-20 ATS (28 games) · 14-13-1 O/U (28 games)
South Florida as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-1-1 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 9-9-1 ATS (19 games) · 12-7 O/U (19 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSouth Florida · 7 of 9
384.0
Yards / game
350.5
2.56
Points / drive
2.71
3.0
TDs / game
3.8
39.6
3rd-down %
45.0
72.7
RZ TD %
71.4
0.3
Turnover margin
0.5
0.8
Sacks / game
1.8
2.5
TFL / game
8.3
7.8
Havoc / game
13.3
33.8 / 66.3
Pass / Rush split
40.9 / 59.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Temple has the ball
Temple's early-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. South Florida's early-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Temple's passing-down offense ranks 67th of 138. South Florida's passing-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Temple's third-down offense ranks 121st of 138. South Florida's third-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Temple's red-zone offense ranks 33rd of 138. South Florida's red-zone defense ranks 44th of 138.
When South Florida has the ball
South Florida's early-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Temple's early-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
South Florida's passing-down offense ranks 51st of 138. Temple's passing-down defense ranks 106th of 138.
South Florida's third-down offense ranks 88th of 138. Temple's third-down defense ranks 136th of 138.
South Florida's red-zone offense ranks 18th of 138. Temple's red-zone defense ranks 122nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.045 last 3 vs 0.057 season)
▼Defense form0.178 last 3 vs 0.077 season (+0.101)
▲Offense form0.166 last 3 vs 0.071 season (+0.095)
▼Defense form-0.007 last 3 vs -0.084 season (+0.076)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAjani Sheppard — 539 yd, 5 TD
RushingKeveun Mason — 340 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingColin Chase — 196 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMichael Van Buren Jr. — 691 yd, 3 TD
RushingD.J. Crowther — 325 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingBryson Rodgers — 197 yd, 1 TD