Fourth Down Data
Stanford2-2 · ACC@Wake Forest3-1 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET· Truist Field· Wake Forest -12.5 · O/U 53.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 2,302 mi / 0 miForecast: 72°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Wake Forest -12.5 · O/U 53.5
opened Wake Forest -13, now Wake Forest -12.5 · total opened 54, now 53.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Stanford as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 9-21 ATS (30 games) · 12-18 O/U (30 games)
Wake Forest as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-11-1 ATS (24 games) · 11-12-1 O/U (24 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalWake Forest · 7 of 9
371.5
Yards / game
426.5
1.88
Points / drive
2.97
2.3
TDs / game
3.5
33.9
3rd-down %
37.5
50.0
RZ TD %
47.1
1.0
Turnover margin
0.0
0.8
Sacks / game
2.5
4.5
TFL / game
6.5
9.5
Havoc / game
11.8
55.2 / 44.8
Pass / Rush split
49.0 / 51.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Stanford has the ball
Stanford's early-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. Wake Forest's early-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Stanford's passing-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Wake Forest's passing-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Stanford's third-down offense ranks 125th of 138. Wake Forest's third-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
Stanford's red-zone offense ranks 101st of 138. Wake Forest's red-zone defense ranks 73rd of 138.
When Wake Forest has the ball
Wake Forest's early-down offense ranks 17th of 138. Stanford's early-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
Wake Forest's passing-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Stanford's passing-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Wake Forest's third-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. Stanford's third-down defense ranks 114th of 138.
Wake Forest's red-zone offense ranks 120th of 138. Stanford's red-zone defense ranks 111th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.112 last 3 vs -0.073 season)
▼Defense form0.262 last 3 vs 0.187 season (+0.076)
Offense formabout the same(0.128 last 3 vs 0.151 season)
▼Defense form0.099 last 3 vs 0.040 season (+0.059)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavis Warren — 1071 yd, 5 TD
RushingMicah Ford — 257 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingCaden High — 256 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGio Lopez — 1112 yd, 8 TD
RushingTy Clark III — 235 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingCarlos Hernandez — 516 yd, 3 TD