Fourth Down Data
San José State5-5 · Mountain West@Air Force7-2 · Mountain West
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Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET· Falcon Stadium· Elevation 6,643 ft· Air Force -11.5 · O/U 47.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 931 mi / 0 miForecast: 45°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Air Force -11.5 · O/U 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
San José State as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-5 ATS (10 games) · 1-9 O/U (10 games)
2026 as road underdog: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-7 ATS (22 games) · 7-15 O/U (22 games)
Air Force as home favorite
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 14-15 ATS (29 games) · 13-16 O/U (29 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalAir Force · 5 of 9
345.1
Yards / game
393.9
1.53
Points / drive
2.98
2.0
TDs / game
3.6
30.4
3rd-down %
51.2
46.7
RZ TD %
64.1
0.4
Turnover margin
0.1
3.6
Sacks / game
1.3
6.4
TFL / game
3.1
14.7
Havoc / game
8.9
48.4 / 51.6
Pass / Rush split
11.9 / 88.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When San José State has the ball
San José State's early-down offense ranks 127th of 138. Air Force's early-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
San José State's passing-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Air Force's passing-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
San José State's third-down offense ranks 111th of 138. Air Force's third-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
San José State's red-zone offense ranks 113th of 138. Air Force's red-zone defense ranks 42nd of 138.
When Air Force has the ball
Air Force's early-down offense ranks 29th of 138. San José State's early-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Air Force's passing-down offense ranks 62nd of 138. San José State's passing-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Air Force's third-down offense ranks 39th of 138. San José State's third-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Air Force's red-zone offense ranks 45th of 138. San José State's red-zone defense ranks 85th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.300 last 3 vs -0.150 season (-0.150)
Defense formabout the same(-0.089 last 3 vs -0.057 season)
▼Offense form0.077 last 3 vs 0.130 season (-0.052)
▼Defense form0.196 last 3 vs 0.023 season (+0.172)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLuke Weaver — 1810 yd, 11 TD
RushingJabari Bates — 682 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingCarson Clark — 689 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLiam Szarka — 296 yd, 1 TD
RushingEvan Medders — 549 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingSimon Kibbee — 166 yd, 1 TD