Fourth Down Data
San José State2-2 · Mountain West@Hawai'i1-3 · Mountain West
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Sat, Oct 3, 11:59 PM ET· Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex· Hawai'i -3 · O/U 51.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 2,413 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 19 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Hawai'i -3 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
San José State as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 14-6 ATS (20 games) · 7-13 O/U (20 games)
Hawai'i as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 7-5-1 ATS (13 games) · 5-8 O/U (13 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSan José State · 5 of 9
404.3
Yards / game
341.8
1.43
Points / drive
1.64
2.5
TDs / game
2.0
33.9
3rd-down %
39.7
66.7
RZ TD %
43.8
-0.8
Turnover margin
0.0
1.8
Sacks / game
1.8
4.8
TFL / game
4.0
11.3
Havoc / game
10.8
51.6 / 48.4
Pass / Rush split
64.1 / 35.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When San José State has the ball
San José State's early-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Hawai'i's early-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
San José State's passing-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Hawai'i's passing-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
San José State's third-down offense ranks 79th of 138. Hawai'i's third-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
San José State's red-zone offense ranks 67th of 138. Hawai'i's red-zone defense ranks 127th of 138.
When Hawai'i has the ball
Hawai'i's early-down offense ranks 113th of 138. San José State's early-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
Hawai'i's passing-down offense ranks 110th of 138. San José State's passing-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Hawai'i's third-down offense ranks 108th of 138. San José State's third-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Hawai'i's red-zone offense ranks 136th of 138. San José State's red-zone defense ranks 113th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.108 last 3 vs -0.150 season)
▲Defense form-0.113 last 3 vs -0.014 season (-0.099)
Offense formabout the same(-0.106 last 3 vs -0.090 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.056 last 3 vs 0.054 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLuke Weaver — 1032 yd, 9 TD
RushingJabari Bates — 413 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingCarson Clark — 240 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMicah Alejado — 1020 yd, 3 TD
RushingDeVon Rice — 242 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingTama Uiliata — 208 yd, 1 TD