Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET· Fred C. Yager Stadium· Ohio -1.5 · O/U 48.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 141 mi / 0 miForecast: 49°F · wind 4 mph · Clear
Market context
Ohio -1.5 · O/U 48.5
opened Ohio -1, now Ohio -1.5 · total opened 48, now 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Ohio as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 9-11 ATS (20 games) · 8-12 O/U (20 games)
Miami (OH) as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 3-5 ATS (8 games) · 4-4 O/U (8 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOhio · 8 of 9
368.9
Yards / game
357.2
2.60
Points / drive
2.31
3.3
TDs / game
2.9
47.3
3rd-down %
35.8
76.9
RZ TD %
58.6
-0.3
Turnover margin
0.3
2.1
Sacks / game
1.9
6.4
TFL / game
4.1
13.0
Havoc / game
11.3
38.0 / 62.0
Pass / Rush split
42.7 / 57.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Ohio has the ball
Ohio's early-down offense ranks 21st of 138. Miami (OH)'s early-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
Ohio's passing-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Miami (OH)'s passing-down defense ranks 135th of 138.
Ohio's third-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Miami (OH)'s third-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Ohio's red-zone offense ranks 26th of 138. Miami (OH)'s red-zone defense ranks 128th of 138.
When Miami (OH) has the ball
Miami (OH)'s early-down offense ranks 36th of 138. Ohio's early-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
Miami (OH)'s passing-down offense ranks 108th of 138. Ohio's passing-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
Miami (OH)'s third-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Ohio's third-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone offense ranks 77th of 138. Ohio's red-zone defense ranks 38th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.086 last 3 vs 0.078 season)
▲Defense form-0.300 last 3 vs -0.123 season (-0.177)
▼Offense form-0.018 last 3 vs 0.066 season (-0.084)
Defense formabout the same(-0.063 last 3 vs -0.039 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNick Poulos — 978 yd, 7 TD
RushingDuncan Brune — 463 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingRiley Neer — 551 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavid McComb — 1121 yd, 7 TD
RushingRodney Nelson — 436 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingMaleek Huggins — 473 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Ohio offense
21stof 1380.108371 plays
vs
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.024Ohio defense · allowed
41stof 138-0.062vs
Miami (OH) offense
36thof 1380.074376 plays
Passing downs
Ohio offense
94thof 138-0.059175 plays
vs
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
135thof 1380.320208 plays
Ohio defense · allowed
107thof 1380.097190 plays
vs
Miami (OH) offense
108thof 138-0.098195 plays
Third down
Ohio offense
87thof 138-0.014110 plays
vs
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
115thof 1380.176121 plays
Ohio defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.013120 plays
vs
Miami (OH) offense
130thof 138-0.227107 plays
Red zone
Ohio offense
26thof 1380.16966 plays
vs
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
128thof 1380.25975 plays
Ohio defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.12788 plays
vs
Miami (OH) offense
77thof 138-0.00966 plays
Field advancement
Ohio offense
48thof 13850.5%vs
Miami (OH) defense · allowed
83rdof 13845.4%Ohio defense · allowed
77thof 13845.1%vs
Miami (OH) offense
58thof 13848.9%Away
Home
Ohio Offense vs Miami (OH) DefenseOhio · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.08#57
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#92-0.10
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.067#41
480 plays
EPA/Play
#840.018
allowed · 535 plays
0.050#53
193 plays
EPA/Pass
#1090.095
allowed · 297 plays
0.078#42
287 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#36-0.078
allowed · 238 plays
49.6%#31
480 plays
Success Rate
#5144.5%
allowed · 535 plays
49.7%#26
Pass Success Rate
#10345.7%
allowed
49.5%#57
Rush Success Rate
#4144.8%
allowed
50.5%#48
Available Yards %
#8345.4%
allowed
70.1#60
Net Field Position
#2573.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.108#21
371 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#66-0.024
allowed
6.4#22
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#667.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Ohio Defense vs Miami (OH) OffenseMiami (OH) · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.03#69
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#78-0.02
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.033#58
allowed · 501 plays
EPA/Play
#600.028
482 plays
-0.053#61
allowed · 232 plays
EPA/Pass
#460.060
213 plays
-0.015#65
allowed · 269 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#750.002
269 plays
48.1%#109
allowed · 501 plays
Success Rate
#4847.5%
482 plays
45.3%#99
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5346.5%
50.8%#121
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#6948.3%
45.1%#77
allowed
Available Yards %
#5848.9%
70.9#77
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2468.5
-0.062#41
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#360.074
376 plays
6.6#115
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1257.8
2026 · Situational EPAOhio · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.081
469 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.031
488 plays
-0.029
496 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.017
548 plays
0.169
66 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.009
66 plays
-0.127
88 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.259
75 plays
-0.014
110 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.227
107 plays
-0.013
120 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.176
121 plays