Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· LaVell Edwards Stadium· Elevation 4,633 ft· BYU -7.5 · O/U 49.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,009 mi / 0 miForecast: 54°F · wind 3 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
BYU -7.5 · O/U 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Baylor as road underdog
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-12 ATS (27 games) · 14-13 O/U (27 games)
BYU as home favorite
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-16 ATS (34 games) · 18-16 O/U (34 games)
2026 · TraditionalBaylor · 5 of 9
433.4
Yards / game
397.1
2.46
Points / drive
2.64
3.8
TDs / game
3.9
39.6
3rd-down %
50.9
55.3
RZ TD %
69.2
0.6
Turnover margin
-0.1
4.1
Sacks / game
2.3
8.9
TFL / game
6.3
19.4
Havoc / game
14.9
49.5 / 50.5
Pass / Rush split
45.0 / 55.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Baylor has the ball
Baylor's early-down offense ranks 78th of 138. BYU's early-down defense ranks 23rd of 138.
Baylor's passing-down offense ranks 57th of 138. BYU's passing-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Baylor's third-down offense ranks 59th of 138. BYU's third-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Baylor's red-zone offense ranks 62nd of 138. BYU's red-zone defense ranks 102nd of 138.
When BYU has the ball
BYU's early-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Baylor's early-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
BYU's passing-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Baylor's passing-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
BYU's third-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Baylor's third-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
BYU's red-zone offense ranks 81st of 138. Baylor's red-zone defense ranks 5th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Baylor offense
78thof 138-0.008448 plays
vs
BYU defense · allowed
23rdof 138-0.114Baylor defense · allowed
16thof 138-0.127vs
BYU offense
41stof 1380.061387 plays
Passing downs
Baylor offense
57thof 1380.059261 plays
vs
BYU defense · allowed
64thof 138-0.025211 plays
Baylor defense · allowed
18thof 138-0.158260 plays
vs
BYU offense
48thof 1380.075164 plays
Third down
Baylor offense
59thof 1380.083146 plays
vs
BYU defense · allowed
81stof 1380.082132 plays
Baylor defense · allowed
67thof 1380.031147 plays
vs
BYU offense
23rdof 1380.252112 plays
Red zone
Baylor offense
62ndof 1380.026101 plays
vs
BYU defense · allowed
102ndof 1380.10992 plays
Baylor defense · allowed
5thof 138-0.46166 plays
vs
BYU offense
81stof 138-0.017104 plays
Field advancement
Baylor offense
62ndof 13848.5%vs
BYU defense · allowed
34thof 13838.7%Baylor defense · allowed
27thof 13837.7%vs
BYU offense
52ndof 13849.8%Baylor Offense vs BYU DefenseBYU · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.13#43
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#240.28
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.005#71
593 plays
EPA/Play
#37-0.077
allowed · 521 plays
0.002#73
301 plays
EPA/Pass
#29-0.139
allowed · 275 plays
0.009#72
292 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#69-0.008
allowed · 246 plays
45.5%#85
593 plays
Success Rate
#5844.9%
allowed · 521 plays
42.2%#95
Pass Success Rate
#4241.0%
allowed
49.0%#62
Rush Success Rate
#11150.0%
allowed
48.5%#62
Available Yards %
#3438.7%
allowed
66.6#7
Net Field Position
#6671.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.008#78
448 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#23-0.114
allowed
7.9#130
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#567.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Baylor Defense vs BYU OffenseBaylor · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.31#20
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#320.18
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.104#27
allowed · 563 plays
EPA/Play
#310.103
502 plays
-0.111#35
allowed · 283 plays
EPA/Pass
#410.079
236 plays
-0.096#30
allowed · 280 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#250.125
266 plays
40.9%#15
allowed · 563 plays
Success Rate
#4248.2%
502 plays
39.3%#25
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3648.3%
43.1%#25
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7348.1%
37.7%#27
allowed
Available Yards %
#5249.8%
72.9#29
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3969.1
-0.127#16
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#410.061
387 plays
7.7#24
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#95.9
2026 · Situational EPABaylor · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.005
610 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.104
513 plays
-0.102
586 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.084
528 plays
0.026
101 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.017
104 plays
-0.461
66 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.109
92 plays
0.083
146 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.252
112 plays
0.031
147 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.082
132 plays