Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET· Veterans Memorial Stadium· Troy -14 · O/U 50.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 361 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 9 mph · Clear
Market context
Troy -14 · O/U 50.5
opened Troy -16.5, now Troy -14 · total opened 51, now 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
UL Monroe as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 13-25-1 ATS (39 games) · 22-16-1 O/U (39 games)
Troy as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 13-15 ATS (28 games) · 13-15 O/U (28 games)
2026 · TraditionalTroy · 9 of 9
342.5
Yards / game
402.7
1.81
Points / drive
2.13
2.5
TDs / game
3.0
29.6
3rd-down %
36.5
58.8
RZ TD %
61.1
-0.7
Turnover margin
0.0
1.5
Sacks / game
1.8
4.3
TFL / game
5.7
9.3
Havoc / game
11.3
49.5 / 50.5
Pass / Rush split
43.1 / 56.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When UL Monroe has the ball
UL Monroe's early-down offense ranks 100th of 138. Troy's early-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
UL Monroe's passing-down offense ranks 114th of 138. Troy's passing-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
UL Monroe's third-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Troy's third-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
UL Monroe's red-zone offense ranks 93rd of 138. Troy's red-zone defense ranks 40th of 138.
When Troy has the ball
Troy's early-down offense ranks 62nd of 138. UL Monroe's early-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Troy's passing-down offense ranks 119th of 138. UL Monroe's passing-down defense ranks 125th of 138.
Troy's third-down offense ranks 101st of 138. UL Monroe's third-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
Troy's red-zone offense ranks 57th of 138. UL Monroe's red-zone defense ranks 65th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
UL Monroe offense
100thof 138-0.063239 plays
vs
Troy defense · allowed
87thof 1380.021UL Monroe defense · allowed
113thof 1380.064vs
Troy offense
62ndof 1380.032308 plays
Passing downs
UL Monroe offense
114thof 138-0.121122 plays
vs
Troy defense · allowed
91stof 1380.068124 plays
UL Monroe defense · allowed
125thof 1380.246126 plays
vs
Troy offense
119thof 138-0.141135 plays
Third down
UL Monroe offense
132ndof 138-0.29382 plays
vs
Troy defense · allowed
58thof 138-0.02074 plays
UL Monroe defense · allowed
129thof 1380.31287 plays
vs
Troy offense
101stof 138-0.08285 plays
Red zone
UL Monroe offense
93rdof 138-0.07640 plays · small sample
vs
Troy defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.18050 plays · small sample
UL Monroe defense · allowed
65thof 138-0.06158 plays · small sample
vs
Troy offense
57thof 1380.05446 plays · small sample
Field advancement
UL Monroe offense
122ndof 13838.7%vs
Troy defense · allowed
72ndof 13843.8%UL Monroe defense · allowed
136thof 13859.0%vs
Troy offense
88thof 13845.7%UL Monroe Offense vs Troy DefenseTroy · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.27#118
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90-0.06
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.101#120
315 plays
EPA/Play
#850.023
allowed · 349 plays
-0.132#113
158 plays
EPA/Pass
#77-0.002
allowed · 168 plays
-0.071#114
157 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#920.046
allowed · 181 plays
44.4%#102
315 plays
Success Rate
#5644.4%
allowed · 349 plays
43.0%#88
Pass Success Rate
#5841.6%
allowed
45.9%#102
Rush Success Rate
#9748.5%
allowed
38.7%#122
Available Yards %
#7243.8%
allowed
73.1#122
Net Field Position
#12568.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.063#100
239 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#870.021
allowed
6.6#49
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#427.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
UL Monroe Defense vs Troy OffenseTroy · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.38#134
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#100-0.14
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.137#128
allowed · 359 plays
EPA/Play
#82-0.007
404 plays
0.280#135
allowed · 143 plays
EPA/Pass
#114-0.137
173 plays
0.043#91
allowed · 216 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#420.091
231 plays
49.0%#117
allowed · 359 plays
Success Rate
#9744.8%
404 plays
51.5%#135
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#12038.7%
47.5%#81
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#6149.4%
59.0%#136
allowed
Available Yards %
#8845.7%
70.6#90
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#13374.0
0.064#113
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#620.032
308 plays
5.5#138
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#596.7
2026 · Situational EPATroy · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.091
318 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.012
410 plays
0.155
366 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.032
344 plays
-0.076
40 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.054
46 plays · small sample
-0.061
58 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.180
50 plays · small sample
-0.293
82 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.082
85 plays
0.312
87 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.020
74 plays