Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET· Bill Snyder Family Stadium· Kansas State -7.5 · O/U 54.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 74 mi / 0 miForecast: 54°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Kansas State -7.5 · O/U 54.5
opened Kansas State -8, now Kansas State -7.5 · total opened 55, now 54.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Kansas as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-17 ATS (29 games) · 20-8-1 O/U (29 games)
Kansas State as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 24-14 ATS (38 games) · 18-20 O/U (38 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalKansas State · 6 of 9
475.6
Yards / game
444.0
2.08
Points / drive
2.93
4.0
TDs / game
4.4
40.6
3rd-down %
61.6
72.7
RZ TD %
69.2
-0.6
Turnover margin
-0.4
1.8
Sacks / game
2.4
7.2
TFL / game
7.6
14.2
Havoc / game
14.2
42.2 / 57.8
Pass / Rush split
48.4 / 51.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Kansas has the ball
Kansas's early-down offense ranks 104th of 138. Kansas State's early-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Kansas's passing-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Kansas State's passing-down defense ranks 116th of 138.
Kansas's third-down offense ranks 34th of 138. Kansas State's third-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Kansas's red-zone offense ranks 44th of 138. Kansas State's red-zone defense ranks 97th of 138.
When Kansas State has the ball
Kansas State's early-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Kansas's early-down defense ranks 51st of 138.
Kansas State's passing-down offense ranks 11th of 138. Kansas's passing-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Kansas State's third-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Kansas's third-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Kansas State's red-zone offense ranks 76th of 138. Kansas's red-zone defense ranks 108th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.014 last 3 vs -0.017 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.201 last 3 vs -0.200 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.057 last 3 vs 0.062 season)
▼Defense form0.236 last 3 vs -0.127 season (+0.364)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingIsaiah Marshall — 1143 yd, 8 TD
RushingDylan Edwards — 318 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingNik McMillan — 345 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAvery Johnson — 1092 yd, 9 TD
RushingAvery Johnson — 330 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJaron Tibbs — 201 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Kansas offense
104thof 138-0.071216 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
44thof 138-0.059Kansas defense · allowed
51stof 138-0.046vs
Kansas State offense
81stof 138-0.005214 plays
Passing downs
Kansas offense
87thof 138-0.032127 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
116thof 1380.177117 plays
Kansas defense · allowed
20thof 138-0.198125 plays
vs
Kansas State offense
11thof 1380.344111 plays
Third down
Kansas offense
34thof 1380.25269 plays
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
115thof 1380.20968 plays
Kansas defense · allowed
24thof 138-0.18871 plays
vs
Kansas State offense
10thof 1380.47573 plays
Red zone
Kansas offense
44thof 1380.12252 plays · small sample
vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
97thof 1380.06727 plays · small sample
Kansas defense · allowed
108thof 1380.14837 plays · small sample
vs
Kansas State offense
76thof 138-0.01869 plays
Field advancement
Kansas offense
51stof 13852.4%vs
Kansas State defense · allowed
32ndof 13836.2%Kansas defense · allowed
31stof 13836.0%vs
Kansas State offense
21stof 13858.3%Away
Home
Kansas Offense vs Kansas State DefenseKansas State · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.08#86
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#82-0.04
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.066#104
287 plays
EPA/Play
#1040.060
allowed · 227 plays
-0.050#86
135 plays
EPA/Pass
#1010.090
allowed · 90 plays
-0.080#114
152 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#910.040
allowed · 137 plays
44.6%#99
287 plays
Success Rate
#7945.8%
allowed · 227 plays
40.7%#110
Pass Success Rate
#1637.0%
allowed
48.0%#78
Rush Success Rate
#5445.4%
allowed
52.4%#51
Available Yards %
#3236.2%
allowed
72.4#107
Net Field Position
#2374.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.071#104
216 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#44-0.059
allowed
8.0#128
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#168.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Kansas Defense vs Kansas State OffenseKansas State · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.08#48
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#460.11
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.062#46
allowed · 266 plays
EPA/Play
#420.087
275 plays
0.023#84
allowed · 110 plays
EPA/Pass
#100-0.073
139 plays
-0.122#27
allowed · 156 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#30.250
136 plays
39.8%#17
allowed · 266 plays
Success Rate
#4149.5%
275 plays
39.2%#36
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#9642.4%
38.9%#11
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#856.6%
36.0%#31
allowed
Available Yards %
#2158.3%
68.0#127
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#7370.8
-0.046#51
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#81-0.005
214 plays
7.4#57
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#506.6
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.057
298 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.094
284 plays
-0.078
273 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.081
245 plays
0.122
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.018
69 plays
0.148
37 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.067
27 plays · small sample
0.252
69 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.475
73 plays
-0.188
71 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.209
68 plays