Sat, Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET· Mountain America Stadium· Kansas State -2.5 · O/U 56
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 941 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 5 mph · Clear
Market context
Kansas State -2.5 · O/U 56
opened Kansas State -3.5, now Kansas State -2.5 · total opened 56.5, now 56
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Kansas State as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 3-10-1 ATS (14 games) · 7-7 O/U (14 games)
Arizona State as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 7-8-1 ATS (16 games) · 8-8 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalKansas State · 9 of 9
464.7
Yards / game
420.3
2.89
Points / drive
2.18
4.2
TDs / game
3.7
59.3
3rd-down %
30.8
61.8
RZ TD %
61.1
-0.3
Turnover margin
-0.7
2.2
Sacks / game
1.8
7.5
TFL / game
4.3
14.5
Havoc / game
11.8
45.5 / 54.5
Pass / Rush split
52.1 / 47.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Kansas State has the ball
Kansas State's early-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Arizona State's early-down defense ranks 56th of 138.
Kansas State's passing-down offense ranks 12th of 138. Arizona State's passing-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Kansas State's third-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Arizona State's third-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Kansas State's red-zone offense ranks 103rd of 138. Arizona State's red-zone defense ranks 47th of 138.
When Arizona State has the ball
Arizona State's early-down offense ranks 57th of 138. Kansas State's early-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
Arizona State's passing-down offense ranks 89th of 138. Kansas State's passing-down defense ranks 116th of 138.
Arizona State's third-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Kansas State's third-down defense ranks 112th of 138.
Arizona State's red-zone offense ranks 68th of 138. Kansas State's red-zone defense ranks 69th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.026 last 3 vs 0.077 season (-0.052)
▼Defense form0.221 last 3 vs -0.107 season (+0.328)
Offense formabout the same(-0.053 last 3 vs -0.041 season)
▼Defense form0.179 last 3 vs -0.002 season (+0.181)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAvery Johnson — 1301 yd, 10 TD
RushingAvery Johnson — 462 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJaron Tibbs — 268 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCutter Boley — 1353 yd, 13 TD
RushingKyson Brown — 329 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingReed Harris — 653 yd, 8 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Kansas State offense
59thof 1380.042274 plays
vs
Arizona State defense · allowed
56thof 138-0.041Kansas State defense · allowed
42ndof 138-0.061vs
Arizona State offense
57thof 1380.050224 plays
Passing downs
Kansas State offense
12thof 1380.324130 plays
vs
Arizona State defense · allowed
12thof 138-0.207142 plays
Kansas State defense · allowed
116thof 1380.193144 plays
vs
Arizona State offense
89thof 138-0.035140 plays
Third down
Kansas State offense
9thof 1380.46286 plays
vs
Arizona State defense · allowed
81stof 1380.04885 plays
Kansas State defense · allowed
112thof 1380.18279 plays
vs
Arizona State offense
117thof 138-0.17578 plays
Red zone
Kansas State offense
103rdof 138-0.09597 plays
vs
Arizona State defense · allowed
47thof 138-0.15160 plays
Kansas State defense · allowed
69thof 138-0.05036 plays · small sample
vs
Arizona State offense
68thof 1380.01350 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Kansas State offense
15thof 13860.3%vs
Arizona State defense · allowed
86thof 13845.4%Kansas State defense · allowed
31stof 13836.3%vs
Arizona State offense
82ndof 13846.1%Away
Home
Kansas State Offense vs Arizona State DefenseKansas State · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.12#48
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#100-0.10
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.101#38
350 plays
EPA/Play
#71-0.013
allowed · 323 plays
-0.071#99
163 plays
EPA/Pass
#1000.076
allowed · 176 plays
0.250#3
187 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#28-0.121
allowed · 147 plays
49.1%#42
350 plays
Success Rate
#5944.6%
allowed · 323 plays
42.9%#89
Pass Success Rate
#6141.9%
allowed
54.5%#10
Rush Success Rate
#4044.4%
allowed
60.3%#15
Available Yards %
#8645.4%
allowed
70.2#65
Net Field Position
#13566.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.042#59
274 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#56-0.041
allowed
6.5#38
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1076.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Kansas State Defense vs Arizona State OffenseKansas State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.01#68
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#84-0.04
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.046#99
allowed · 287 plays
EPA/Play
#110-0.075
283 plays
0.019#82
allowed · 116 plays
EPA/Pass
#107-0.114
139 plays
0.065#101
allowed · 171 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#100-0.037
144 plays
44.9%#61
allowed · 287 plays
Success Rate
#8046.6%
283 plays
36.6%#10
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#6945.3%
45.6%#51
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7947.9%
36.3%#31
allowed
Available Yards %
#8246.1%
74.3#17
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#9071.5
-0.061#42
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#570.050
224 plays
8.4#6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#556.7
2026 · Situational EPAArizona State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.106
359 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.043
313 plays
0.064
305 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.026
342 plays
-0.095
97 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.013
50 plays · small sample
-0.050
36 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.151
60 plays
0.462
86 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.175
78 plays
0.182
79 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.048
85 plays