Fourth Down Data
#15Iowa5-1 · Big Ten@Minnesota4-2 · Big Ten
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Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET· TCF Bank Stadium· Iowa -6.5 · O/U 40.5
Rest 15d / 14dTravel 244 mi / 0 miForecast: 70°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Iowa -6.5 · O/U 40.5
opened Iowa -7, now Iowa -6.5 · total opened 41, now 40.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Iowa as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 12-5 ATS (17 games) · 8-9 O/U (17 games)
Minnesota as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 8-6-2 ATS (16 games) · 7-8-1 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalIowa · 7 of 9
403.2
Yards / game
341.3
2.80
Points / drive
2.16
3.5
TDs / game
2.8
39.4
3rd-down %
37.3
68.4
RZ TD %
60.9
0.3
Turnover margin
0.2
3.2
Sacks / game
2.3
5.7
TFL / game
7.2
14.2
Havoc / game
14.8
48.4 / 51.6
Pass / Rush split
54.4 / 45.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Iowa has the ball
Iowa's early-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Minnesota's early-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Iowa's passing-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Minnesota's passing-down defense ranks 90th of 138.
Iowa's third-down offense ranks 115th of 138. Minnesota's third-down defense ranks 31st of 138.
Iowa's red-zone offense ranks 82nd of 138. Minnesota's red-zone defense ranks 129th of 138.
When Minnesota has the ball
Minnesota's early-down offense ranks 121st of 138. Iowa's early-down defense ranks 55th of 138.
Minnesota's passing-down offense ranks 124th of 138. Iowa's passing-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
Minnesota's third-down offense ranks 119th of 138. Iowa's third-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Minnesota's red-zone offense ranks 89th of 138. Iowa's red-zone defense ranks 71st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.038 last 3 vs 0.090 season (-0.128)
▼Defense form0.096 last 3 vs -0.176 season (+0.272)
▼Offense form-0.167 last 3 vs -0.097 season (-0.070)
Defense formabout the same(-0.096 last 3 vs -0.079 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingHank Brown — 832 yd, 5 TD
RushingKamari Moulton — 519 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingTony Diaz — 329 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDrake Lindsey — 1335 yd, 9 TD
RushingTJ Thomas — 317 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJavon Tracy — 375 yd, 1 TD