Fri, Oct 9, 10:15 PM ET· LaVell Edwards Stadium· Elevation 4,633 ft· BYU -11 · O/U 49.5
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 944 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
BYU -11 · O/U 49.5
opened BYU -13.5, now BYU -11 · total opened 50.5, now 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Iowa State as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-5 ATS (16 games) · 7-9 O/U (16 games)
BYU as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 17-15 ATS (32 games) · 18-14 O/U (32 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalBYU · 9 of 9
391.6
Yards / game
415.3
2.56
Points / drive
3.28
3.8
TDs / game
4.8
34.5
3rd-down %
57.4
68.8
RZ TD %
83.3
0.4
Turnover margin
1.3
1.8
Sacks / game
2.0
6.0
TFL / game
6.3
12.0
Havoc / game
12.5
39.2 / 60.8
Pass / Rush split
36.5 / 63.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Iowa State has the ball
Iowa State's early-down offense ranks 28th of 138. BYU's early-down defense ranks 31st of 138.
Iowa State's passing-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. BYU's passing-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Iowa State's third-down offense ranks 100th of 138. BYU's third-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Iowa State's red-zone offense ranks 30th of 138. BYU's red-zone defense ranks 126th of 138.
When BYU has the ball
BYU's early-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Iowa State's early-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
BYU's passing-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Iowa State's passing-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
BYU's third-down offense ranks 27th of 138. Iowa State's third-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
BYU's red-zone offense ranks 51st of 138. Iowa State's red-zone defense ranks 131st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.139 last 3 vs 0.069 season (+0.070)
▼Defense form0.085 last 3 vs -0.033 season (+0.118)
Offense formabout the same(0.197 last 3 vs 0.221 season)
▼Defense form-0.137 last 3 vs -0.335 season (+0.198)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaylen Raynor — 903 yd, 6 TD
RushingAiden Flora — 594 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingDominic Overby — 212 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBear Bachmeier — 704 yd, 6 TD
RushingLJ Martin — 344 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingLegend Glasker — 279 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Iowa State offense
28thof 1380.120222 plays
vs
BYU defense · allowed
31stof 138-0.113Iowa State defense · allowed
102ndof 1380.031vs
BYU offense
37thof 1380.082151 plays
Passing downs
Iowa State offense
73rdof 1380.019111 plays
vs
BYU defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.07090 plays
Iowa State defense · allowed
33rdof 138-0.140108 plays
vs
BYU offense
55thof 1380.08665 plays
Third down
Iowa State offense
100thof 138-0.09758 plays · small sample
vs
BYU defense · allowed
57thof 138-0.05652 plays · small sample
Iowa State defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.12766 plays
vs
BYU offense
27thof 1380.30647 plays · small sample
Red zone
Iowa State offense
30thof 1380.22340 plays · small sample
vs
BYU defense · allowed
126thof 1380.34526 plays · small sample
Iowa State defense · allowed
131stof 1380.40627 plays · small sample
vs
BYU offense
51stof 1380.11645 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Iowa State offense
87thof 13846.5%vs
BYU defense · allowed
31stof 13834.5%Iowa State defense · allowed
35thof 13836.0%vs
BYU offense
45thof 13853.9%Away
Home
Iowa State Offense vs BYU DefenseBYU · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.03#78
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#180.24
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.068#52
279 plays
EPA/Play
#9-0.212
allowed · 173 plays
0.016#59
117 plays
EPA/Pass
#16-0.261
allowed · 91 plays
0.106#36
162 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#23-0.158
allowed · 82 plays
44.8%#98
279 plays
Success Rate
#2039.9%
allowed · 173 plays
43.6%#88
Pass Success Rate
#7443.0%
allowed
45.7%#103
Rush Success Rate
#2640.9%
allowed
46.5%#87
Available Yards %
#3134.5%
allowed
72.0#93
Net Field Position
#4772.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.120#28
222 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#31-0.113
allowed
7.0#76
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1036.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Iowa State Defense vs BYU OffenseBYU · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.00#74
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#220.21
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.006#86
allowed · 264 plays
EPA/Play
#190.173
191 plays
-0.008#86
allowed · 115 plays
EPA/Pass
#430.086
78 plays
0.018#82
allowed · 149 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#90.233
113 plays
42.4%#45
allowed · 264 plays
Success Rate
#4149.2%
191 plays
37.1%#25
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#4348.7%
46.3%#71
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#5849.6%
36.0%#35
allowed
Available Yards %
#4553.9%
69.7#97
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2467.3
0.031#102
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#370.082
151 plays
8.3#18
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#436.5
2026 · Situational EPABYU · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.053
272 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.170
202 plays
0.006
264 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.227
180 plays
0.223
40 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.116
45 plays · small sample
0.406
27 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.345
26 plays · small sample
-0.097
58 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.306
47 plays · small sample
-0.128
66 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.056
52 plays · small sample