Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET· Rose Bowl· UCLA -10 · O/U 46.5
Rest 7d / 6dTravel 1,691 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
UCLA -10 · O/U 46.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Illinois as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 14-10 ATS (24 games) · 13-9-1 O/U (23 games)
UCLA as home favorite
2026 overall: 9-0 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 5-0 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 12-15 ATS (27 games) · 10-17 O/U (27 games)
2026 · TraditionalUCLA · 7 of 9
392.2
Yards / game
431.9
2.65
Points / drive
2.47
3.2
TDs / game
4.0
45.9
3rd-down %
46.0
63.0
RZ TD %
56.1
0.0
Turnover margin
1.6
1.2
Sacks / game
2.2
4.2
TFL / game
5.6
10.0
Havoc / game
14.9
50.1 / 49.9
Pass / Rush split
39.4 / 60.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Illinois has the ball
Illinois's early-down offense ranks 17th of 138. UCLA's early-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Illinois's passing-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. UCLA's passing-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Illinois's third-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. UCLA's third-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Illinois's red-zone offense ranks 109th of 138. UCLA's red-zone defense ranks 8th of 138.
When UCLA has the ball
UCLA's early-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Illinois's early-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
UCLA's passing-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Illinois's passing-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
UCLA's third-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Illinois's third-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
UCLA's red-zone offense ranks 107th of 138. Illinois's red-zone defense ranks 105th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Illinois offense
17thof 1380.116415 plays
vs
UCLA defense · allowed
5thof 138-0.224397 plays
Illinois defense · allowed
126thof 1380.106vs
UCLA offense
42ndof 1380.060436 plays
Passing downs
Illinois offense
22ndof 1380.208184 plays
vs
UCLA defense · allowed
2ndof 138-0.347227 plays
Illinois defense · allowed
86thof 1380.017188 plays
vs
UCLA offense
41stof 1380.104182 plays
Third down
Illinois offense
73rdof 1380.028109 plays
vs
UCLA defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.303124 plays
Illinois defense · allowed
66thof 1380.027120 plays
vs
UCLA offense
61stof 1380.079126 plays
Red zone
Illinois offense
109thof 138-0.14055 plays · small sample
vs
UCLA defense · allowed
8thof 138-0.39946 plays · small sample
Illinois defense · allowed
105thof 1380.12271 plays
vs
UCLA offense
107thof 138-0.133106 plays
Field advancement
Illinois offense
22ndof 13854.7%vs
UCLA defense · allowed
3rdof 13830.0%Illinois defense · allowed
115thof 13850.5%vs
UCLA offense
36thof 13852.3%Illinois Offense vs UCLA DefenseUCLA · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.13#44
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#50.46
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.078#35
532 plays
EPA/Play
#6-0.220
allowed · 524 plays
0.071#43
270 plays
EPA/Pass
#5-0.249
allowed · 253 plays
0.084#40
262 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#9-0.193
allowed · 271 plays
48.5%#40
532 plays
Success Rate
#237.2%
allowed · 524 plays
47.4%#45
Pass Success Rate
#133.1%
allowed
49.6%#50
Rush Success Rate
#1240.5%
allowed
54.7%#22
Available Yards %
#330.0%
allowed
72.6#117
Net Field Position
#2073.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.116#17
415 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#5-0.224
allowed · 397 plays
6.0#10
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#38.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Illinois Defense vs UCLA OffenseUCLA · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.10#93
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#450.13
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.089#118
allowed · 556 plays
EPA/Play
#470.054
563 plays
0.049#95
allowed · 281 plays
EPA/Pass
#590.029
226 plays
0.129#122
allowed · 275 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#470.070
337 plays
47.8%#104
allowed · 556 plays
Success Rate
#5247.2%
563 plays
44.9%#94
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#11340.3%
50.5%#119
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#2851.9%
50.5%#115
allowed
Available Yards %
#3652.3%
70.9#75
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#365.6
0.106#126
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#420.060
436 plays
6.6#113
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#146.1
2026 · Situational EPAUCLA · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.078
532 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.059
556 plays
0.089
556 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.226
501 plays
-0.140
55 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.133
106 plays
0.122
71 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.399
46 plays · small sample
0.028
109 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.079
126 plays
0.027
120 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.303
124 plays