Fourth Down Data
Arizona State3-2 · Big 12@#11Texas Tech5-0 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET· Jones AT&T Stadium· Elevation 3,218 ft· Texas Tech -13.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 580 mi / 0 miForecast: 58°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas Tech -13.5 · O/U 50.5
opened Texas Tech -12.5, now Texas Tech -13.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Arizona State as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 13-7 ATS (20 games) · 7-12 O/U (19 games)
Texas Tech as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 6-1 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 18-12 ATS (30 games) · 16-13 O/U (29 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTexas Tech · 7 of 9
421.4
Yards / game
406.4
2.28
Points / drive
2.50
3.8
TDs / game
3.8
29.7
3rd-down %
43.3
60.0
RZ TD %
64.7
-0.6
Turnover margin
0.4
2.0
Sacks / game
2.2
4.4
TFL / game
5.4
12.2
Havoc / game
15.0
50.1 / 49.9
Pass / Rush split
43.6 / 56.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Arizona State has the ball
Arizona State's early-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Texas Tech's early-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Arizona State's passing-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Texas Tech's passing-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Arizona State's third-down offense ranks 131st of 138. Texas Tech's third-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Arizona State's red-zone offense ranks 100th of 138. Texas Tech's red-zone defense ranks 5th of 138.
When Texas Tech has the ball
Texas Tech's early-down offense ranks 70th of 138. Arizona State's early-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Texas Tech's passing-down offense ranks 36th of 138. Arizona State's passing-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Texas Tech's third-down offense ranks 45th of 138. Arizona State's third-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Texas Tech's red-zone offense ranks 101st of 138. Arizona State's red-zone defense ranks 80th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.074 last 3 vs -0.016 season (-0.058)
▼Defense form0.015 last 3 vs -0.047 season (+0.062)
Offense formabout the same(-0.030 last 3 vs 0.008 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.194 last 3 vs -0.159 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCutter Boley — 1229 yd, 12 TD
RushingKyson Brown — 290 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingReed Harris — 590 yd, 7 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWill Hammond — 1102 yd, 5 TD
RushingJ'Koby Williams — 373 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingKenny Johnson — 298 yd, 1 TD