Fourth Down Data
Arizona State5-4 · Big 12@UCF5-4 · Big 12
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Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Bounce House· UCF -3 · O/U 48.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,844 mi / 0 miForecast: 59°F · wind 9 mph · Clear
Market context
UCF -3 · O/U 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Arizona State as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 14-8 ATS (22 games) · 8-13 O/U (21 games)
UCF as home favorite
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 17-19 ATS (36 games) · 16-20 O/U (36 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalUCF · 5 of 9
384.9
Yards / game
359.0
2.07
Points / drive
2.26
3.3
TDs / game
3.7
30.4
3rd-down %
35.3
60.0
RZ TD %
64.9
-0.2
Turnover margin
0.3
2.1
Sacks / game
1.8
5.3
TFL / game
4.4
13.8
Havoc / game
11.3
49.7 / 50.3
Pass / Rush split
48.0 / 52.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Arizona State has the ball
Arizona State's early-down offense ranks 87th of 138. UCF's early-down defense ranks 56th of 138.
Arizona State's passing-down offense ranks 79th of 138. UCF's passing-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Arizona State's third-down offense ranks 102nd of 138. UCF's third-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Arizona State's red-zone offense ranks 57th of 138. UCF's red-zone defense ranks 78th of 138.
When UCF has the ball
UCF's early-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Arizona State's early-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
UCF's passing-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Arizona State's passing-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
UCF's third-down offense ranks 109th of 138. Arizona State's third-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
UCF's red-zone offense ranks 64th of 138. Arizona State's red-zone defense ranks 63rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.045 last 3 vs -0.043 season)
▲Defense form-0.130 last 3 vs -0.045 season (-0.085)
▼Offense form-0.141 last 3 vs -0.082 season (-0.059)
▼Defense form0.114 last 3 vs -0.022 season (+0.135)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCutter Boley — 1360 yd, 13 TD
RushingCardae Mack — 603 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingReed Harris — 907 yd, 9 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKeyone Jenkins — 1181 yd, 11 TD
RushingDuke Watson — 596 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJosh Derry — 571 yd, 4 TD