Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET· Peden Stadium· Ohio -12 · O/U 48.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 218 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 3 mph · Clear
Market context
Ohio -12 · O/U 48.5
opened Ohio -11, now Ohio -12 · total opened 49.5, now 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Eastern Michigan as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-5 ATS (8 games) · 2-6 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 17-15-1 ATS (33 games) · 16-17 O/U (33 games)
Ohio as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 13-9 ATS (22 games) · 13-9 O/U (22 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOhio · 8 of 9
320.0
Yards / game
371.4
1.93
Points / drive
2.83
2.5
TDs / game
3.6
41.9
3rd-down %
51.1
60.9
RZ TD %
75.0
-0.1
Turnover margin
-0.4
1.5
Sacks / game
1.9
4.5
TFL / game
6.0
11.5
Havoc / game
12.1
54.9 / 45.1
Pass / Rush split
35.3 / 64.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Eastern Michigan has the ball
Eastern Michigan's early-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Ohio's early-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
Eastern Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Ohio's passing-down defense ranks 122nd of 138.
Eastern Michigan's third-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. Ohio's third-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Eastern Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 74th of 138. Ohio's red-zone defense ranks 106th of 138.
When Ohio has the ball
Ohio's early-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Eastern Michigan's early-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Ohio's passing-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Eastern Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
Ohio's third-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Eastern Michigan's third-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
Ohio's red-zone offense ranks 35th of 138. Eastern Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 75th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.026 last 3 vs -0.091 season (+0.117)
Defense formabout the same(-0.028 last 3 vs -0.039 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.097 last 3 vs 0.117 season)
▲Defense form-0.445 last 3 vs -0.108 season (-0.336)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNoah Kim — 1678 yd, 11 TD
RushingAmareon Blue — 338 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJoshua Long — 366 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNick Poulos — 503 yd, 5 TD
RushingDuncan Brune — 330 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingRiley Neer — 441 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Eastern Michigan offense
107thof 138-0.073362 plays
vs
Ohio defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.019Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
32ndof 138-0.095vs
Ohio offense
32ndof 1380.093294 plays
Passing downs
Eastern Michigan offense
87thof 138-0.016194 plays
vs
Ohio defense · allowed
122ndof 1380.235138 plays
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
69thof 138-0.015178 plays
vs
Ohio offense
58thof 1380.060137 plays
Third down
Eastern Michigan offense
72ndof 1380.073117 plays
vs
Ohio defense · allowed
99thof 1380.11093 plays
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
110thof 1380.175105 plays
vs
Ohio offense
55thof 1380.14090 plays
Red zone
Eastern Michigan offense
74thof 138-0.01266 plays
vs
Ohio defense · allowed
106thof 1380.09763 plays
Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
75thof 138-0.02958 plays · small sample
vs
Ohio offense
35thof 1380.13362 plays
Field advancement
Eastern Michigan offense
114thof 13841.4%vs
Ohio defense · allowed
82ndof 13844.8%Eastern Michigan defense · allowed
94thof 13846.8%vs
Ohio offense
49thof 13851.9%Away
Home
Eastern Michigan Offense vs Ohio DefenseOhio · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.16#103
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#77-0.02
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.066#105
476 plays
EPA/Play
#870.026
allowed · 355 plays
-0.147#115
264 plays
EPA/Pass
#990.076
allowed · 158 plays
0.034#64
212 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#62-0.014
allowed · 197 plays
46.2%#82
476 plays
Success Rate
#11649.0%
allowed · 355 plays
42.0%#101
Pass Success Rate
#11747.8%
allowed
51.4%#32
Rush Success Rate
#11650.2%
allowed
41.4%#114
Available Yards %
#8244.8%
allowed
73.4#128
Net Field Position
#8071.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.073#107
362 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#66-0.019
allowed
7.2#87
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1236.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Eastern Michigan Defense vs Ohio OffenseOhio · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.10#101
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#410.14
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.044#52
allowed · 449 plays
EPA/Play
#370.103
380 plays
0.066#93
allowed · 224 plays
EPA/Pass
#720.016
143 plays
-0.154#16
allowed · 225 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#170.155
237 plays
46.5%#86
allowed · 449 plays
Success Rate
#1851.6%
380 plays
48.0%#118
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#4049.0%
45.4%#49
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1453.2%
46.8%#94
allowed
Available Yards %
#4951.9%
69.5#107
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2668.2
-0.095#32
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#320.093
294 plays
6.7#108
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#95.8
2026 · Situational EPAOhio · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.054
486 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.121
369 plays
-0.055
442 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.033
350 plays
-0.012
66 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.133
62 plays
-0.029
58 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.097
63 plays
0.073
117 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.140
90 plays
0.175
105 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.110
93 plays