Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET· Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium· West Virginia -2 · O/U 62.5
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 246 mi / 0 miForecast: 48°F · wind 15 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
West Virginia -2 · O/U 62.5
opened West Virginia -2.5, now West Virginia -2
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Cincinnati as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 5-13 ATS (18 games) · 9-8-1 O/U (18 games)
West Virginia as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3-1 ATS (6 games) · 6-0 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 13-7 ATS (20 games) · 11-9 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalCincinnati · 5 of 9
427.6
Yards / game
480.3
2.70
Points / drive
2.69
4.6
TDs / game
4.8
48.4
3rd-down %
50.0
85.0
RZ TD %
64.3
1.0
Turnover margin
0.0
2.2
Sacks / game
2.2
5.2
TFL / game
6.5
13.4
Havoc / game
13.0
40.3 / 59.7
Pass / Rush split
25.2 / 74.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Cincinnati has the ball
Cincinnati's early-down offense ranks 71st of 138. West Virginia's early-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
Cincinnati's passing-down offense ranks 41st of 138. West Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Cincinnati's third-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. West Virginia's third-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Cincinnati's red-zone offense ranks 9th of 138. West Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 72nd of 138.
When West Virginia has the ball
West Virginia's early-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Cincinnati's early-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
West Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Cincinnati's passing-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
West Virginia's third-down offense ranks 17th of 138. Cincinnati's third-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
West Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 78th of 138. Cincinnati's red-zone defense ranks 29th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.040 last 3 vs 0.121 season (-0.080)
Defense formabout the same(0.070 last 3 vs 0.035 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.095 last 3 vs 0.137 season)
▼Defense form0.365 last 3 vs 0.174 season (+0.191)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJC French IV — 949 yd, 6 TD
RushingGi'Bran Payne — 392 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJV Gibson — 267 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMichael Hawkins Jr. — 1055 yd, 7 TD
RushingCam Cook — 793 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingDJ Epps — 393 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Cincinnati offense
71stof 1380.020215 plays
vs
West Virginia defense · allowed
137thof 1380.280Cincinnati defense · allowed
60thof 138-0.032vs
West Virginia offense
60thof 1380.040321 plays
Passing downs
Cincinnati offense
41stof 1380.166108 plays
vs
West Virginia defense · allowed
117thof 1380.178134 plays
Cincinnati defense · allowed
97thof 1380.108119 plays
vs
West Virginia offense
35thof 1380.193147 plays
Third down
Cincinnati offense
3rdof 1380.55964 plays
vs
West Virginia defense · allowed
27thof 138-0.17971 plays
Cincinnati defense · allowed
126thof 1380.30268 plays
vs
West Virginia offense
17thof 1380.37895 plays
Red zone
Cincinnati offense
9thof 1380.29155 plays · small sample
vs
West Virginia defense · allowed
72ndof 138-0.03848 plays · small sample
Cincinnati defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.23759 plays · small sample
vs
West Virginia offense
78thof 138-0.02379 plays
Field advancement
Cincinnati offense
48thof 13852.9%vs
West Virginia defense · allowed
113thof 13849.8%Cincinnati defense · allowed
103rdof 13848.4%vs
West Virginia offense
44thof 13853.5%Away
Home
Cincinnati Offense vs West Virginia DefenseCincinnati · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.01#69
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#114-0.17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.129#31
280 plays
EPA/Play
#1360.186
allowed · 375 plays
0.081#47
116 plays
EPA/Pass
#1370.335
allowed · 170 plays
0.162#20
164 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1040.062
allowed · 205 plays
48.6%#51
280 plays
Success Rate
#12750.1%
allowed · 375 plays
45.7%#63
Pass Success Rate
#13351.4%
allowed
50.6%#46
Rush Success Rate
#9048.1%
allowed
52.9%#48
Available Yards %
#11349.8%
allowed
69.3#50
Net Field Position
#4572.6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.020#71
215 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1370.280
allowed
6.9#65
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#757.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Cincinnati Defense vs West Virginia OffenseWest Virginia · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.05#89
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#310.17
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.032#94
allowed · 295 plays
EPA/Play
#380.100
421 plays
-0.085#49
allowed · 157 plays
EPA/Pass
#650.020
110 plays
0.165#131
allowed · 138 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#290.128
311 plays
47.5%#98
allowed · 295 plays
Success Rate
#8146.1%
421 plays
41.7%#60
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#11440.0%
51.6%#123
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7548.2%
48.4%#103
allowed
Available Yards %
#4453.5%
75.7#5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#6470.2
-0.032#60
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#600.040
321 plays
7.5#52
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#416.5
2026 · Situational EPACincinnati · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.137
283 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.122
402 plays
0.022
304 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.201
367 plays
0.291
55 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.023
79 plays
-0.237
59 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.038
48 plays · small sample
0.559
64 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.378
95 plays
0.302
68 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.179
71 plays