Fourth Down Data
Cincinnati5-4 · Big 12@Iowa State4-5 · Big 12
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Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· MidAmerican Energy Field at Jack Trice Stadium· Iowa State -2.5 · O/U 61
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 518 mi / 0 miForecast: 43°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Iowa State -2.5 · O/U 61
total opened 60.5, now 61
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Cincinnati as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 6-14 ATS (20 games) · 10-9-1 O/U (20 games)
Iowa State as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-5-1 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 19-16-1 ATS (36 games) · 14-21 O/U (35 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalCincinnati · 9 of 9
446.9
Yards / game
381.3
2.75
Points / drive
2.36
4.3
TDs / game
3.3
47.0
3rd-down %
35.0
80.0
RZ TD %
64.0
0.6
Turnover margin
0.2
2.0
Sacks / game
1.3
5.4
TFL / game
4.6
12.7
Havoc / game
10.2
42.0 / 58.0
Pass / Rush split
42.2 / 57.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Cincinnati has the ball
Cincinnati's early-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Iowa State's early-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
Cincinnati's passing-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Iowa State's passing-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Cincinnati's third-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Iowa State's third-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Cincinnati's red-zone offense ranks 4th of 138. Iowa State's red-zone defense ranks 137th of 138.
When Iowa State has the ball
Iowa State's early-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Cincinnati's early-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Iowa State's passing-down offense ranks 63rd of 138. Cincinnati's passing-down defense ranks 112th of 138.
Iowa State's third-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Cincinnati's third-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
Iowa State's red-zone offense ranks 16th of 138. Cincinnati's red-zone defense ranks 19th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.021 last 3 vs 0.117 season (-0.097)
▼Defense form0.302 last 3 vs 0.156 season (+0.147)
Offense formabout the same(0.049 last 3 vs 0.038 season)
▼Defense form0.275 last 3 vs 0.087 season (+0.187)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJC French IV — 1990 yd, 15 TD
RushingCole Tabb — 812 yd, 10 TD
ReceivingJV Gibson — 515 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaylen Raynor — 1672 yd, 12 TD
RushingAiden Flora — 1119 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingJamal Polite Jr. — 321 yd, 2 TD